I don't think this is incoherent so much as showing how different parts of the electorate are trending in different directions. I suspect the working classes are trending right in response to the tabloid campaign against Brown while the middle classes are recoiling from the tories as more of their plans are revealed.
Could there be a correlation between the fact that the YouGov poll gives a more favourable result for Labour and the fact that YouGov's president is a certain Peter Kellner, husband of that obscure lady Catherine Ashton who happens to be a Labour politician?
What are the political leanings of ComRes? En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
Tories are probably going to win outright, but I agree with Helen that it looks like there's a chance of a hung parliament if the race tightens substantially. That's conceivable, but I wouldn't bet the house on it.
I'm not sure what the odds are of Scotland ditching the UK. If that's likely under a Tory government, I suspect Helen's right that the Tories will rule Britain for the foreseeable future. Which is worrying, because if the Tories are free to do as they please, it's not going to be pretty, I'm guessing.
Maybe not so much of an issue in the first term if their majority isn't very large. Big issue if they build a substantial lead in the second term. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
