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From Drew's link they're reporting 82% of poll respondents think the economy is bad and a whacking 40% saying the economy is very bad.  

If this was the US I'd expect a sweep election.  Lo and behold voting preference is going 40/29 against NuLabour.

Figure a Conservative parliamentary majority will result, the question being how big.  The only way to answer that is a seat-by-seat analysis.  Usually sweep elections result in a larger majority than they 'should' as the sweeping party captures a larger percentage of Swing Voters, capturing a greater number of marginal seats.  

Sorry everybody but the notion of a hung parliament is unlikely unless the situation changes.

by ATinNM on Mon Dec 14th, 2009 at 03:00:52 PM EST
If Brown's hoping to win this by attacking Cameron's Etonian background, he's kidding himself, too.  Class warfare isn't going to work when the government has no credibility on the issue with the public, and when it's blatantly the result of a desperate PM.

Again: A hung parliament is conceivable, but I'd bet on the blowout long before that.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Dec 14th, 2009 at 06:03:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If Brown's hoping to win this by attacking Cameron's Etonian background, he's kidding himself, too.

NuLabour needs to get down and dirty.  I humbly submit the following classic attack:

"Cameron has been known to masticate in public and his daughter was a notorious, flagrant, thespian at her university."

The Monster Raving Loony Party vote IS, after all, up for grabs.

(Oh man.  With Brown at the helm Labour is going to get slaughtered.)

by ATinNM on Mon Dec 14th, 2009 at 07:11:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thing is, as you said, even if Labour could figure out a strategy, Brown doesn't have the political instincts to implement it.  The guy's just an awful politician.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Dec 14th, 2009 at 07:20:49 PM EST
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