I bet the FSB knows this just as well from its own sources in the sausage-making. But Russia doesn't invade, despite zero true military potential! So, perhaps, all of it is pointless? *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
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Pointless? Certainly at the moment. The question cannot be allowed to be "should the status quo stand?". Either we must have a defence which works and spends tax money in an efficient way, or we should dismantle it entirely. Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
