Assuming that everyone who would vote for independence in a binding referendum actually came out to vote this weekend, and assuming a binding referendum would see a participation of 60%, independence would be defeated by a margin of 230 - 190. But with participations of under 55%, independence would win (in the areas where votes were held this weekend).

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma