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Yes. But if nationalisation is Geithner's aim (as you too seem to be claiming), then where is the need for this "State entity" (aka PPIF)?

It is going to take a lot of time for this entity to get set up and find willing private partners and, together with them (or thanks to their superior market know-how), analyse the often very complex vehicles involved.

Meanwhile, an audit is going to estimate the banks' exposure to bad stuff. (How that is to be done convincingly without evaluating assets I don't see). There will then be an injection of a capital "buffer", and/or nationalisation (according to the Trojan Horse theory). This may well occur well before the PPIF has got far in its price-setting and allocation tasks. What use will it then be, what will be its role?

I think that if major American banks are nationalised, that will be because it becomes inevitable, not because this unclear, confused communication from Geithner masks a cunning plan to reach that goal without Wall Street seeing it coming.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2009 at 10:13:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
it is not necessarily by Geithner. A theory I was told is apparently making the rounds in Brussels is that he is being set up as a goat, ie his plan will fail, and will make it politically possible to go for a more radical plan. Some people in Brussels seem to think he won't be around in a few months' time.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2009 at 10:29:19 AM EST
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I wouldn't be at all surprised that he should disappear within a few months.

But I'm not impressed by the very-cunning behind-the-scenes plan explanation. Once Obama's main project for dealing with an urgent financial crisis has failed, I don't quite see what extra leeway to introduce more radical policy he'll have gained.

We shall see.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2009 at 11:29:08 AM EST
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It's a nice theory - but why set up someone to fail? There would have to be a political advantage of the 'We tried it your way - now let's try my way' kind.

What evidence is there that Obama works like that, or has ever worked like that?

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2009 at 06:21:40 PM EST
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Having Watched the Iraq war, I'm sure that would result in, "you havent tried it our way for long enough" as a response till the next presidential  election where he would loose as the recovery would be perpetually round the next corner.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Feb 11th, 2009 at 08:44:15 PM EST
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