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The Economist
Avoiding future disasters means allocating blame acurately; and most of it lies with bad policy, not with greedy bankers.
But the banks, through their lobbyists and their political contributions, have bought the deregulation that constitutes this "bad policy."  It has been a 30 year effort starting with Reagan.  It only took 10 years after the repeal of Glass-Steagel along with the continued efforts of the Bush 43 Administration and Greenspan's Fed to pop the bubble and reveal the inevitable end of said "bad policy."

Jerome

Thus you need to define the border, and to make damn sure that it cannot be breached.
That cannot be assured by even the most stringent regulations.  Any solution must involve a return of the repressed "political" component of "political economy" and must involve simultaneous reform of both the regulation of the economy and of campaign finance to insure against future repurchases of the same or improved "bad policy" by financial interests in the future.

As best as I can tell, we are nowhere near to even considering effective reform of either component.  Nor do I think either reform is highly likely to emerge in the next year.  The best hope for an effective solution might be the sort of transformative organizations proposed by Chris Cook, which would only have a chance if strongly backed by a coalition of the Chinese and resource exporting nations.  Even given that backing, without campaign finance reform, forcing such bitter medicine on the financial sector, at least in the USA, will be beyond the ability of the political sector.  The whole situation will almost certainly get much worse, but this is more likely to produce smoke and dust than to provide any clarity that could lead to resolve.
   

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 12:45:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Economist
Avoiding future disasters means allocating blame acurately; and most of it lies with bad policy, not with greedy bankers.
But ...
By saying "But..." you are conceding that what they are saying is substantially true, which it isn't. The right answer to The Economist begins with "No, you obfuscating liar".

The greedy bankers did subprime lending, securitization, credit default swaps, off-balance-sheet items and contingent liabilities all by themselves, with the intent to do an end-run around the regulators.

So it was not "bad policy" that caused the crisis, though there were quite a few policy-makers who were apologists for deregulation or "industry self-regulation". And if the problem was self-regulation, it was the bankers that failed to self-regulate anyway.


Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 01:48:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't see the "but" doing that.  I am saying that the financial interests, including the ownership and management of the big banks, are responsible for both the specific actions that produced the current collapse and the policies which enabled those actions, which they bought, with their "think" tanks and, before that, with their Neo Classical Economics which was largely constructed by their paid retainers from the 1880s onward, with the often unsuspecting products of the captured "education system," such as Ron Reagan, economics major, and with their out-sized contributions to the election process.

It is their natural tendency to use their wealth to skew all aspects of national policy to their favor, along with the actual actions that brought disaster that I am descrying.  We won't prevent a repeat or a continuation of the current problems until we take steps to curb the influence.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 03:00:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You are right.  From what I see in the news, the Congress is nowhere near anything like reform.  The Republicans (almost to a man/woman) and some Democrats are ready to tear up anything that looks like change from the current system. It's just unbelievable arrogance.  As I and others have said many times before, time to clean House, and Senate.

I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears
by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 02:34:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's unbelievable corruption.

Trillions in public cash have been handed out to the financial industry. At least some of those trillions have been handed out with no oversight at all.

Which part of 'The Senate and Congress are a wholly owned subdsidiary of Wall St' isn't clear yet?

And don't ask who owns Wall St. That's not a question with a popular answer.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 07:17:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
And don't ask who owns Wall St. That's not a question with a popular answer.

But the collapse and discrediting of Wall Street and the losses of its owners could in fact allow progress to be made on one or two hitherto intractable geopolitical problems....

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 08:14:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So we pray.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sat Mar 7th, 2009 at 08:50:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The question is will it be "discredited" or will the media be able to continue to play it as just another downturn as here?

I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears
by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Sun Mar 8th, 2009 at 12:03:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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