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Your implied jab on all government spending as liberal feel good spending aside, I put together some numbers on crime in Trenton.

According to the 2003 stats published by the FBI, crimes reported in Trenton prior to the opening of the river line were as follows -

Population:             86,130
Murder:              13
Forcible Rape:          36
Robbery:             645
Aggravated Assault:     824
Burglary:             1,073
Larceny or Theft:     2,514
Car Theft:             1,090
Arson:                     26

In 2006, the stats were as follows

Population:            84,703
Murder:              18
Forcible Rape:         31
Robbery:               632
Aggravated Assault:    593   
Burglary:           806
Larceny/Theft:         1,211   
Car Theft:             460
Arson:                 23

This does not look much like a crime surge to me.

An article on the 5th year anniversary of the River Line in the Burlington Times seems to fit with the original poster's appraisal.

The River Line at 5

It's been five years since the launch of the River Line, NJ Transit's Camden to Trenton light rail line and we think it's a qualified success.

The line has fulfilled a need for additional public transportation in the county and provided a much needed economic boost to some of the towns it spans.

New restaurants and shops have opened in Riverton and Burlington City, and new townhomes were built near the River Line stations in Cinnaminson and Delanco.

-snip-

NJ Transit also needs to make the safety of its riders and River Line neighbors a priority.

While police officials and nearby residents have said criminals sometimes make use of the line for illegal activities, crime statistics don't show a significant increase in crime in the towns served by the rail line.

Regular users also have raised concerns about vagrants and panhandlers, as well as drug-dealing, on some of the station platforms and in some of the cars.

NJ Transit police officers do patrol the 34-mile line route, but we believe a substantial increase in ridership should correlate with an increase in security patrols at the stations.

A preliminary google search on "river line crime" and "river line new jersey crime" turned up the above article, info on the new station, and the ET article here, but not much about serious crime problems created by the line.

by Zwackus on Sat Apr 18th, 2009 at 06:48:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Huh, you did the researh for him! Checking your link, I find there is newer data, too...

2007:
Population:            83,551               
Murder:              25
Forcible Rape:         15
Robbery:               595
Aggravated Assault:    530  
Burglary:           852
Larceny/Theft:         1,408  
Car Theft:             385
Arson:                 21

It seems murder is the only field where there is an apparent growing tendency, but then, the sample is small.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sat Apr 18th, 2009 at 07:14:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
To complete the series, showing no clear trend for murder and confirming the downwards trend for everything else...

2005:
Population:            85,566
Murder:              31
Forcible Rape:         21
Robbery:               805
Aggravated Assault:    658  
Burglary:           962
Larceny/Theft:         1,940  
Car Theft:             672
Arson:                 27

2004:
Population:            85,911
Murder:              18
Forcible Rape:         47
Robbery:               576
Aggravated Assault:    716  
Burglary:           987
Larceny/Theft:         2,027  
Car Theft:             791
Arson:                 27

For all but murder, the trend is the same in earlier years, so I will table only murder -- which on the longer term does show an upward trend, but it began before the River LINE:
2002: 19
2001: 13
2000: 14
1999: 8
1998: 15
1997: 12
1996: 14
1995: 16

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sat Apr 18th, 2009 at 07:52:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's not a trend, that's noise with some outliers which could have any number of causes.

So - any other devastatingly compelling evidence for this 'crime wave'?

Shall we compare deaths from road accidents along the length of the line for the same period?

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sat Apr 18th, 2009 at 08:27:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The horn of the River Line trains distracts Drivers and Makes Them Crash!

Everyone knows about this, so I shouldn't have to do your research to confirm it, but here is a source:

x Cranky driver complaining in the online comment thread of one of the stories about the River line over the past five years in one of the local papers that have online stories and comments.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sun Apr 19th, 2009 at 08:57:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Perhaps there is a trend:

2003:
Car Theft: 1,090
2004:
Car Theft: 791
2005:
Car Theft: 672
2006:
Car Theft: 460
2007:
Car Theft: 385

by kjr63 on Sun Apr 19th, 2009 at 11:19:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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