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I doubt Sanader is planning on arming the Bosnian Croats. If he were, he woudn't have just sold the USA 19 thousand old Kalashnikovs (which were already 2nd hand when Croatia procured them from Hungary in the 1990s) to arm the Afghans...

Javno.com: KALASHNIKOVS TO AFGHANISTAN: Croatia Selling 19,000 AK-47 Rifles to USA

American reasons for this weapons deal are lower price due to friendly relations and the current state of equipment of Afghan troops.

Croatia will send to the ISAF Mission in Afghanistan armoured vehicles purchased from the Finnish company Patria to better protect Croatian soldiers there, but this should come about only in a year or two.
Note that Croatia (like Albania) just joined NATO, by the way.

Croatia can probably really use the €2bn from this sale to defend the exchange rate of the kuna and help with the current budget tightness. Its economy has structural problems that the crisis is not making any better.

Now, Sanader may be angling for the vote of Bosnian Croats in Croatia. I originally found the following story a bit criptic.

BalkanInsight.com: Leading Bosnian Croat Parties Eye Reunification (02 April 2009)

[Note: this does not mean reunification of Croatia and the Bosnian Croats, but it does sound weird, doesn't it? It does mean the reunification of two largest Bosnian Croat parties which split off from the sister party to Sanader's (and Tudjman's) HDZ. Sanader is brokering the negotiations.]

The strongest Bosnian Croat parties, the Croat Democratic Union, HDZ, and the renegade HDZ1990, inch towards reunification, with HDZ 1990leadership expected to start discussing this issue on Thursday.

...

[HDZ1990 president] Ljubic made his comments after the process for reunification of the two Bosnian HDZ parties was officially initiated and strongly supported by the Croatian Premier Ivo Sanader, two days ago.

Eventual reunification of HDZ and HDZ1990 would reinforce Bosnian Croat negotiating positions. This process, and Sanader's role in it, also shows a renewed strengthening of Croatian involvement in the Bosnian Croat political scene.

I don't know if this is ominous, but it does make me uncomfortable.

DoDo has written about similar irresponsible political use of the Hungarian minority in Romania by the Hungarian right-wing party Fidesz.

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Apr 6th, 2009 at 04:20:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In this case, the situation may even be reversed. During the war, on the back of arms smuggling, a wholesale mafia developed within the Bosnian Croat forces, which was again connected to far-right forces in both Croatia proper and Hercegovina (similar to the development of the KLA in Kosovo). In the final years and immediately after the death of Tuđman, these groups were considered to have an inordinate influence on HDZ and Croatia's domestic politics (using money, connections, and even guns & bombs). Though Sanader defeated challengers from the extremist party wing connected to the Herceg-Bosnian 'mafia' while he rose to power, I don't recall him outright dumping the guys.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Apr 6th, 2009 at 10:26:03 AM EST
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