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I am not sure that I understand your first bullet. Could I persuade you to spell it out?

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat Jun 13th, 2009 at 08:52:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As long as enough participants in financial markets believe that "massive increase" in the "monetary base" translates mechanically into a greater money supply ... (despite the obvious fact that it in fact an increase in the monetary base in the face of what would otherwise be a shrinking money supply) ... then there will be substantial expectation of inflation.

Irrespective of whether inflation is feasible in the real world, financial markets are not time-telescopes. They do not read from the future, but only from present anticipations of the future. So if a flawed model is prevalent, it will show up as inflationary expectations.

IOW, when there's smoke, there's fire ... but sometimes its not smoke, its just a dust cloud.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sun Jun 14th, 2009 at 11:04:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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