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Note that the 2-1 ratio is among those that expressed a preference. The number of "undecided" (or unwilling to say?) was even bigger that the number supporting Ahmadinejad. This doesn't contradict their conclusion, but the way the article is written seems a bit misleading.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Tue Jun 16th, 2009 at 07:34:46 AM EST
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To follow up on my suspicion that something was wrong with this survey (based on the authors misleading account which carefully avoided being factually wrong), TPM has a followup:
The other crucial fact is that the survey was done on May 11-20 and the election was on June 12. When they started the survey, former president Khatami was a candidate. He withdrew on May 17 in favor of Mir Hossein Musavi, who had just announced his candidacy.

So during most of the period of the phone survey, Mousavi was not even a declared candidate. His "green wave," that inspired so much excitement among Iranian voters had not even been invented.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Tue Jun 16th, 2009 at 02:33:31 PM EST
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