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by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 01:57:16 PM EST
EUobserver / Italy approves fresh multi-billion-euro stimulus plan

Italian ministers approved a new stimulus package on Friday (26 June) - reported to be in the region of €4.5 billion - as the government attempts to stave off a further slide in economic activity this year.

Measures under the new plan - whose total size has yet to be finalised - include tax incentives for businesses that re-invest profits in new machinery and refrain from cutting workers.

The size of Italian stimulus plans has been constrained by high public debt levels and rising budget deficits

The government also intends to reduce costs for gas utilities in order that savings can be passed onto consumers.

The new stimulus comes as forecasters predict the Italian economy will contract by a greater margin than initially anticipated this year.

Earlier this month, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development cut its growth forecast for Italy for 2009 to a contraction of 5.3 percent, a significant deterioration from a March forecast of a 4.3 percent contraction.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:05:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Exiled by Russia - Casinos and Jobs - NYTimes.com
MOSCOW -- One of the largest mass layoffs in recent Russian history is to occur on Wednesday, and the Kremlin itself is decreeing it, economic crisis or not.

The government is shutting down every last legal casino and slot-machine parlor across the land, under an antivice plan promoted by Vladimir V. Putin that just a few months ago was widely perceived as far-fetched. But the result will be hundreds of thousands of people thrown out of work.

And in a move that at times seems to have taken on almost farcical overtones, the Kremlin has offered the gambling industry only one option for survival: relocate to four regions in remote areas of Russia, as many as 4,000 miles from the capital. The potential marketing slogans -- Come to the Las Vegas of Siberia! Have a Ball near the North Korean Border! -- may not sound inviting, but that is in part what the government envisions.

All the same, none of the four regions are prepared for the transfer, and no casino is expected to reopen for several years. As of July 1, not even two decades after casinos began proliferating here in the free-for-all post-Soviet era, the industry's workers will be out on the street.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:07:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Gangsters, pimps & their prostitutes out on the street?  It's unconscionable, I tell ya.    

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:26:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Brilliant !! Driving a legal and sort-of regulated industry underground will not stop it, but is a gift to the gangsters who will exploit it.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 04:44:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you live around casinos?  I grew up around them.  They may have given a few people decent jobs, but they are really a plague on an area, unless that area is specifically designed around and for them.  When they opened the one in my town, they said it would be a boon to the economy by attracting business. I don't think Russia needs to be relying on casinos to attract business, and if they do, it's business they probably do not want.  Also, how much of the money being made in these places is being diverted back to the economy, and how much is going into private hands, or out of the country?  It's really a lousy institution, and I suspect a lot of people would be happy to have that milieu gone.  

Regulation?  I'd be shocked if government officials weren't seeing a cut, but I seriously doubt these intuitions are regulated in a way you or I would like.  They sure weren't a decade ago.  I think you have a very misinformed idea of how legal and regulated the stuff that goes on in these places are.  It's not Las Vegas or Amsterdam, I can tell you that.  When I was in Moscow, it was common wisdom that the casinos were either fronts for more nefarious operations or vanity projects, or generally some combination there of.  Maybe they've all cleaned up their acts since then, but even the casinos I know of in the quaint Midwest heartland are fronts for far worse than a little bit of preying on the have-nots in order to entertain the haves.  And sure you could get a decent paying job there, in an area where decent paying jobs are scarce.  So long as you understand that being a "hostess" will require showing customers a bit more than just their table.  

Why is the answer to all preying off desperate people to legalize and regulate it?  Because otherwise it will go underground?  It's already underground!  I'm sure the solution is not, "Build more casinos!"  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 05:09:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Legalised gambling will disappear, but gambling will not. If it goes underground, every problem you identify will get worse. As night follows day. And if different areas become blighted, the blight in those areas will be worse. It will just be less obvious because it will be "off the map" as far as tourists and reporters are concerned.

But everyone else will know.

So obvious is this that one wonders if Putin has cut a deal for a rakeoff.

Of course better regulation is the answer. But in the absence of better regulation, badly regulated legal gambling is better than illegal gambling. Anymore than illegal drugs is a better regulation of the appetites of the public than legal narcotics.

Prohibition doesn't work. I thought Chicago's finest proved that 80 years ago.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 05:26:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You obviously already have your mind made up about this as you have not even acknowledged the content of my comment.

If there is one reason this is a bad a idea it is that people will be losing their jobs in an already tough economy.  Again, there needs to be a better solution to that than "casinos."

Prohibition?  Uhm, they aren't banning drinking, or even gambling.  They are shutting down casinos and told them they can relocate in Siberia.  Really - I can't even believe I am having this conversation.  


"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 05:42:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have to say, I'm with Poemless on this one.  Twenty or thirty years ago, the majority of the US was casino free.  You had it in Nevada, Atlantic City, and a few other enclaves scattered around, but for the most part, there simply weren't any casinos.

Could serious gamblers find places to go and gamble?  Yes, they could.  Were they seriously shady and dangerous?  Yes.  Then again, real gambling is seriously shady no matter where it is.  What you didn't find was low-level gambling by the poor and the desperate on every street corner, which is what the spread of casinos enables.  A good number of those people were probably wasting their money and their lives elsewhere, but it wasn't in underground casinos, and if those places were closed, they wouldn't be seeking out underground casinos.  The elderly may love wasting their time and money on slot machines, but they're among the most law-abiding demographic in existence.

Japan is thoroughly screwed on this front.  Public, legal gambling parlors are everywhere.  Everyone knows the games are rigged, and everyone knows the odds are horribly against you, and everyone knows the parlors are owned either by the mob or by North Korea, and everyone goes.  Were they all closed down overnight, I seriously doubt most of those people would start seeking out underground pachinko parlors - they're not there for the danger, or even to win money, but just because it's something to do to waste time, and there are lots of different ways to do that.  

by Zwackus on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 10:24:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
When they introduced a state lottery in Massachusetts a couple of decades ago, an old lady I knew said it made her gambling easier. Previously it was a pain to find out whether you had hit in the mob's numbers game, but under the state plan the numbers were published in the newspaper. But she still played the mob numbers because the payoff rate was better. No taxes, and the limo delivered the cash to your door...
by asdf on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 11:54:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That is to say, the mob just started using the numbers provided by the state...
by asdf on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 11:55:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Young Japanese Raise Their Voices Over Economy
By HIROKO TABUCHI   June 29, 2009  NYT

TOKYO -- A group of young people recently gathered in a darkened park here. Holding placards and megaphones, they chanted slogans condemning the Japanese government and a lack of jobs and opportunity.

The scene, which is repeated often in the gritty Tokyo neighborhood of Koenji, is nothing close to the protests that have recently shaken Iran. Indeed, the protests would hardly raise an eyebrow in most parts of the world, but in this country, which values conformity, they represent a stark departure from the norm. Since the 1960s, when youth protests turned violent, even the mildest form of protests by young people has been viewed as taboo.

But the pain of recession is changing that, giving rise to a new activism among Japan's youth, who have long been considered apathetic.

"I'm here because I want to change society," one leader, Yoshihiro Sato, 28, recently shouted to a crowd of about 50. "Will you join me?"

Unlike the '60s generation, which agitated to change the bourgeois basis of Japanese society, Mr. Sato and other young people are today fighting to join it. They are demanding greater professional opportunities, more job security and a stronger social safety net. After so many decades without a grass-roots movement, protests are so rare here that many who wish to take part require basic training.

The Tokyo-based Pacific Asia Research Center, an institute that typically runs seminars on social issues like poverty, organized the recent march. After a surge of interest from young people who said they wanted to get more involved in social issues but did not know how, the center started offering what it says is Japan's first activist training program. The sessions include poster-making and campaigning on the Web.



As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 11:35:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Business | UK economy sees 2.4% contraction

The UK economy contracted 2.4% in the first quarter of 2009, its biggest decline in more than 50 years, according to the latest official data.

The decline was more severe that the earlier estimate of a 1.9% fall, and worse than analyst expectations.



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 04:44:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And the Eurozone is experiencing deflation, so there's little hope of the rest of the EU helping to drag the UK's irons out of the fire anytime soon.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 11:48:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Krugman blog: Health care is not a bowl of cherries (June 28, 2009)
Um, economists have known for 45 years -- ever since Kenneth Arrow's seminal paper -- that the standard competitive market model just doesn't work for health care: adverse selection and moral hazard are so central to the enterprise that nobody, nobody expects free-market principles to be enough. To act all wide-eyed and innocent about these problems at this late date is either remarkably ignorant or simply disingenuous.
Excuse me, then why do we keep seeing neoliberal politicians advocating health care privatization, and why don't economists denounce their arguments as pseudoscience?

A man of words and not of deeds is like a garden full of weeds; a man of deeds and not of words is like a garden full of turds — Anonymous
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 12:50:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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