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Finland is launching the largest exercise since WW2 (in effect a mobilization in miniature) as a readiness check and response to the immense Russian Zapad (=West) 2009 exercise, involving at least 60.000 soldiers, the adversaries biggest exercise since the end of the Soviet Union. The exercise is held in the areas from Petersburg to Belarus and is simulating a full scale attack westwards, against the Baltic states/Poland/Finland. No surprise the Finns are worried.

It very much reminds me of the fact that the Swedish parliament has decided that no threat exists for the next ten years, which is the time they optimistically believe rearmament will take. The problem is of course when you start the 10-year countdown. As far as I'm concerned wer should have started it years ago, the Georgian War at the latest, or Zapad 2009 at the extremely latest.

The last time the Swedish parliament pronounced "no threat for at least 10 years" was in... 1936.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 08:47:17 AM EST
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Why? Do you actually foresee a threat?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 08:54:09 AM EST
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Yes.

Do not make the mistake of equalising threat with a full scale invasion. That's the kind of binary idiocy we have here in Sweden as an excuse for a defence debate. There is a wide range of actions that can be taken to pressure the states around the Baltic to adapting their domestic policies without resorting to full scale war.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Tue Jun 30th, 2009 at 09:02:23 AM EST
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