1.) Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Germany
2.) Denmark, Spain, Estonia, Finland, France
3.) Greece, Hungary, Italy, Lithuania, Luxembourg
4.) Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovenia, Sweden
Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives emerge as the strongest party in first exit polls. According to exit polls, the CDU takes 38.2 percent. The Social Democrats SPD come in second with 21.3 percent. The conservative Christian Democrats CDU and their Bavarian sister party CSU have won the EU elections in Germany. Chancellor Merkel's party came in first with 38.2 percent of the votes, suffering substantial losses compared to their 2004 result of 44.5 percent. The Social Democrats SPD fell to 21.3 percent from 21.5 percent in 2004 according to first forecasts released by Germany's public television at 18 pm.
The conservative Christian Democrats CDU and their Bavarian sister party CSU have won the EU elections in Germany.
Chancellor Merkel's party came in first with 38.2 percent of the votes, suffering substantial losses compared to their 2004 result of 44.5 percent.
The Social Democrats SPD fell to 21.3 percent from 21.5 percent in 2004 according to first forecasts released by Germany's public television at 18 pm.
CDU/CSU: 38.6% SPD: 21.0% Greens: 11.9% FDP: 10.8% Left: 7.6% Others: 10.1% (none reaching 5%)
Seats: CDU/CSU: 43 (-6) SPD: 23 (0) Greens: 13 (0) FDP: 12 (+5) Left: 8 (+1)
Percentages: CDU/CSU: 37.9% SPD: 20.8% Greens: 12.1% FDP: 11.0% Left: 7.5% Others: 10.1% (none reaching 5%
Seats: CDU/CSU: 42 (-7) SPD: 23 (0) Greens: 14 (+1) FDP: 12 (+5) Left: 8 (+1)
Turnout: 43.3% (+0.3) CDU: 30.6% (-5.9) CSU: 7.2% (-0.8) SPD: 20.8% (-0.7) Greens: 12.1% (+0.2) FDP: 11.0% (+4.9) Left: 7.5% (+1.4) Free Voters (localists): 1.7% (+1.7) Republicans (far-right): 1.3% (-0.6) Animal Protectionists: 1.1% (-0.2) Family: 1.0% (0) Pirates: 0.9% (+0.9)
There was an untypically large array of dwarf parties running (which I'm not listing). *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Freie Wähler (independent conservatives) 1,7 Republikaner (right-wing) 1,3 Tierschutzpartei (animal rights) 1,1 Familienpartei (family rights) 1,0 Piratenpartei (informational rights) 0,9 Others (21 partys) 4,8 "If you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles." Sun Tzu
LOL. So perhaps you shouldn't have supported the return of and takeover by the Schröderite Old Guard... (Müntefering, Steimeier)
As for who is that "you": this was written by SPIEGEL's resident neocon, Claus Christian Malzahn, whom we highlighted on ET a few times before. I refrain from quoting how he tries to spin it all against campaigning on the left again. Nevermind that overall, left-wing parties gained and right-wing parties lost (vs 2004). *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
ÖVP (EPP) 29.7% (-3.0), 6 seats (0) SPÖ (PES) 23.8% (-9.5), 5 seats (-2) Hans Peter Martin (Non-Inscrit) 17.9% (+3.9), 3 seats (+1) FPÖ (Euronat?) 13.1% (+6.8), 2 seats (+1) Grüne (Greens-EFA) 9.5% (-3.4), 1 seat (-1) BZÖ (the late Haider's FPÖ breakaway party, far-right) 4.7% (-), 0 seats (0)
The SPÖ's downfall is a surprise. The BZÖ are just at the limit of getting one mandate. The FPÖ hoped for more. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
EPP-ED (26%) 5 seats PES (20%) 4 seats ALDE: (20-21%) 4 seats Uncommitted (18-20%) 4 seats
There are two ELDR/ALDE parties, one with 3 and one with 1 seats. There are also 2 uncommitted parties each with 2 seats, one of them centre-right, the other far-right.
(source)
EPP-ED: 6 seats PES: 5 seats ALDE: 5 seats Greens-EFA: 3 seats Others: 3 seats
National Coalition Party 3 22,0 301 524 Centre Party of Finland 3 20,8 286 052 Social Democratic Party 2 17,8 245 092 Green League 1 10,9 149 922 True Finns 1 10,0 137 487 Swedish People's Party 1 6,3 85 875 Left Wing Alliance 1 6,0 81 992 Christian Democrats 1 4,4 59 845
Social democrats down 1 seat, Swedish People's remarkably retains seat. True Finns (The Ugly Party) get a seat. Damn. How embarassing. You can't be me, I'm taken
National Coalition Party - EPP Centre Party of Finland - ALDE Social Democratic Party - PES Green League - Greens-EFA True Finns - Non-Inscrits (Libertas) Swedish People's Party - ALDE Christian Democrats - EPP *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Centre Party 19.0% (3 seats) -1
Social Democrats 17.5% (2 seats) -1
Green League 12.4% (2 seats) +1
True Finns 9.8% (1 seat) +1
Swedish People's Party 6.1% (1 seat) no change
Christian Democrats 4.2 % (1 seat) +1 You can't be me, I'm taken
(Thus ALDE 4 but the two parties are aligned differently within the group) You can't be me, I'm taken
Soini, by the way, has said out loud that he probably won't even go to the European Parliament, but plans to send a substitute instead. Pfffft. You have a normal feeling for a moment, then it passes. --More--
(And also, in previous European elections the Left Wing Alliance had an Eurocritic as a strong candidate. This time he was not there anymore so the critical votes went to Soini's Ugly Party instead. The Left campaign this time was about "your conscience and Europe", not so much about "who needs the EU anyway", and it seems that it did not really attract voters. Which is a shame.) You have a normal feeling for a moment, then it passes. --More--
l'UMP arrive largement en tête avec 28,3 % des voix suivi du PS avec 17,5%. La liste Europe Ecologie arrive en troisème position avec 14,8 % des voix devant le Modem qui totalise 8,7 % des suffrages. Suivent le Front National (6,5 %), le Front de gauche (6,3 %), le NPA (5 %), Libertas (5 %) et Lutte Ouvrière (1,3 %).
EPP: 28.3% PES: 17.5% Greens: 14.8% ALDE: 8.7% In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
PS (PES) 16.8% Europe-Ecologie (Greens-AFE) 15.7% Modem (ALDE) 8.?%
In Paris/Ile de France, Europe-Ecologie (Greens, Dany Cohn-Bendit and Eva Joly) comes in several points ahead of the PS (PES).
UMP (EPP-ED) 30 seats PS (PES) 14 seats Europe Ecologie (Greens-EFA) 14 seats MoDem (ALDE) 6 seats Front de Gauche (GUE/NGL) 4 seats MPF+CPNT (Libertas) 1 seat
Wiki has the Front de Gauche as a GUE/NGL party.
And I thought all the action would be in the UK & Ireland tonight...
13h 17h 2004 24.56% 33.92% 2009 24.11% 33.79%
Party Votes (%) Seats(-4) PP 5.8M(-0.6M) 42%(+0.8%) 23(-1) [EPP] PSOE 5.3M(-1.4M) 39%(-4.8%) 21(-4) [PES] CEU 0.7M(-0.1M) 5%(-0.3%) 2(--) [EPP/ALDE] IU 0.5M(-1.2M) 4%(-0.4%) 2(--) [GUE/NGL] UPyD 0.4M(new) 3%(new) 1(+1) [NI] EdP 0.4M(-0.0M) 3%(+0.2%) 1(--) [EFA-Greens]
While I am not the happiest person with the current Spanish government, I am not sure what the PP has done to deserve the victory ... are they really going to win the next elections?
This outcome, 2-seat win over the PSOE and 4 percentage points, was described by El Pais today as a sign that the Government should worry.
It's just a 3.6% win, so it's borderline. The brainless should not be in banking. — Willem Buitler
I'm going to bed now... The brainless should not be in banking. — Willem Buitler
This can be also indicatiosn that recent internal political questions in Spain ahd an influence in the electiosn, int his case the lack of an agreement for the finantial arrangement between the Spanish State and Catalonia.
At least, our TV are showing report from all capitals... if only we would ahve selected a head of the comission .. I would bet that voting total would raise significatively only if some "Head" would be selected by the european parliament.
If not..everything is local.
A pleasure I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
They had a high turnout in Madrid and valencia, again for purely local reasons regardign the support of the base towards the indicted corrupted members of the right-wing party.
PES (22%) 4 ALDE (25%) 3 UEN (15%) 2 Greens-EFA (15%) 2 EPP-ED (12%) 1 GUE/NGL (6%) 1
EPP-ED: 10 seats PES: 7 seats GUE/NGL: 4 seats Greens-EFA: 1 seat
On Friday, a Socialist campaign activist was knocked down while he was putting up a poster. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
* Turnout: 36.28% (-2.22)
It is very very little consolation that a Green party achieved its best results ever (with my vote). *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
In 1989, on the road towards consenting to multi-party democracy, the ruling party then called the Hungarian Socialist Workers' Party held a congress, on which the majority voted to re-form the party as today's Hungarian Socialist Party. However, a minority of diehards chose to go on under the old name. (Since then, there have been a few name changes, but what the Socialists dropped, "Worker", was always part of it.)
While this party adopted some Eurocommunist and progressive rhetoric through the years, it still concerns itself mostly with guarding the good memory of Kádár. (I.e. they get into the news most often when protesting on his birthday or at his grave or defend his 1956 record and such.)
Worse, the party looks like the personal fiefdom of its leader (in office ever since 1989), who gained some quite bad reputation by cozying up to dictators: so for example, during the coup against Gorbachev, he flew to Moscow to be the first to pledge loyalty to the coup leaders; and he got along with ol' Saddam (he was in reality what all other anti-war people were only in the accusations of the warbots).
In recent years, the party had one positive (from my viewpoint positive) campaign of note: that for a referendum against healthcare privatisation a few years ago. However, back then, right-populist Fidesz hijacked that campaign, ultimately leading to a failure of the referendum on turnout. Yet, later on, the Workers' Party did not go out of the way of tactical cooperation with Fidesz and even the far-right on more social-themed campaigns.
In the current elections, the one Workers' Party TV spot I saw was against my liking: they talked about tackling the economic crisis by way of protectionism, and that in nationalist tones -- were they trying to steal votes from Jobbik?... *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
EPP-ED: 36 seats ALDE: 6 seats UEN: 8 seats non-inscrits: 22 seats
(my guess is PD will join the PES, but apparently they're undecided)
Were it to join the PSE, it could provoke a break-up. At the same time Word from Above might order to stay in, thus contaminating the PSE with pata-leftist Catholicism, that is when the vote comes on crucial issues, the PD in Europe might break ranks in order to keep its chimeric identity.
The projections on that site are based on a 39% vote for the Pdl. The latest projections have it at 35%.
EPP-ED: 34 seats ALDE: 7 seats UEN: 8 seats non-inscrits: 23 seats
Reflects the poor showing of Woody's personal political entity, especially in Sicily where Lombardo set out to screw him. A falling out of thieves.
PES: (36%-39.5%) 8 seats EPP-ED (30-33%) 7 seats GUE/NGL (8-10%) 2 seats Uncommited (15-19%) 5 seats
Of the uncommitted parties there is one left party (2 seats), one orthodox christian party (2 seats) and one green party (1 seat). I guess the left party will end up sitting either with the Greens-EFA or GUE/NGL and that the green party will join the Greens-EFA. The christians could end up joining IND-DEM.
So we have:
PES: (36%-39.5%) 8 seats EPP-ED (30-33%) 7 seats GUE/NGL (8-10%) 2 seats IND-DEM (5.3-7%) 2 seats Greens-EFA (4.3-6.4%) 1 seat Uncommitted (4.3-7.2%) 2 seats
All provisional, of course.
SYRIZA? Aint't it part of GUE/NGL? (I counted them there anyway.) *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Abstention here reached record levels, around 38%, (officially it's close to 50% but that's artificial), since the elections fell on a three-day weekend, sunny and hot, the first chance for a decent summer break. The numbers aren't out yet but probably less than half of the 18-35 age group showed up to vote. This age group's no-show was a disaster for SYRIZA and the Greens, both of which expected better results (and being immersed over the past few weeks in the SYRIZA campaign, I can tell you that despite the small increase from 2004, the mood was desolate).
The Far-right thing is really worrying, there is a huge anti-immigrant backlash in the country, especially in Athens and this result turns the whole thing into a major issue. LAOS was the biggest far-right party, but if you add them, wit various small nationalist and fascist groups, they add up to 9%. 0.5% went to a nazi group. These are real nazis with funny salutes and deadly violent, showing up in various neighbourhoods and playing police: basically beating up immigrants.
The socialists were 4,5 points ahead of New Democracy, the ruling conservatives, which is decent for them and might possibly lead to early elections in October, or certainly March. I hope the weather is uninspiring when this happens. The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake
EPP-ED: 3 seats PES: 1 seat ALDE: 1 seat Greens-EFA: 1 seat
Exit polls for parties likely to pass the 4% limit: Il Popolo della Libertà 39-43% Partito Democratico 27-31% Di Pietro Italia dei Valori 5-8% Lega Nord 6,5-10,5% Unione di Centro 3,7-5,7%
It appears Lechergate has not eroded the hold of Berlusconi's personal political entity. The values reflect that the situation has not changed in two weeks.
Sky now has their estimates up:
Il Popolo della Libertà 39% Partito Democratico 27,5% Di Pietro Italia dei Valori 7,8% Lega Nord 9,5% Unione di Centro 5,3%
These estimates exclude representation of the cluster of leftist parties that have fragmented since the last general elections. It's sad to see some valid politicians such as Claudio Fava or Nichi Vendola excluded but it simply repeats a secular problem within the left: protaganism.
The main opposition party, the Democratic Party, appears to hold grounds at 27%.
Comparisons are difficult to make with the previous European elections as the Left was united under a large coalition. 7 to 8% of the votes have been dispersed this time in small asteroid parties on the left.
The real winners in this contest are Di Pietro and Lega Nord.
Projections based on Sky-RAI at 1h20 Il Popolo della Libertà 35-36% Partito Democratico 26,5-27,2% Di Pietro Italia dei Valori 8-8,3% Lega Nord 9,5-9,8% Unione di Centro 6%
As for Italy, there are local realities that have penalized Berlusconi's personal political entity, the Pdl. In Sicily the tactics of Governor Lombardo have caused a strong showing of the autonomists- over 12%. However on the national level this is not enough to gain a seat in Strasbourg. While the Pdl is penalized, the vote nevertheless shows an unequivocal rightwing turn not only in the islands but throughout Southern Italy. There the Pdl has a showing from 42 to 48% with the traditional exception of the Basilicata. The strong showing there is due to the insignificance of autonomist movements that characterize Northern Italy and the islands. One may not exclude a certain macho vote that identifies itself with Woody's sexual philandering.
The Pd has held its position, perhaps a sign that its collapse under Veltroni has stopped. It is however in a difficult situation to form alliances on a national level with two small but significant parties on either side- Di Pietro's Idv against Casini's Christian Democrat remake. The asteroid parties on the Left have disappeared from any elective role yet persist in presenting themselves with a fiefdom mentality rather than form a pragmatic coalition. Their insistence on disunity is a major voter drain for the left- on the order of 8%.
While the far left torments itself over indistinguishable nuances, arcane for almost all voters, the right wing has no problem kissing up to a demagogic blob of a party, a probable symptom of their intellectual maturity. The only real problem on the right is represented by autonomist movements. But Berlusconi has demonstrated that he can metabolize them quite well when not outright compete with them in racist demagogy.
Voter participation: 20.91%. For comparison, the 2004 EP election saw 48.38% participation. The two rounds of the National Parliament election saw 48.59% and 32.05% participation.
Social Dems: 27,3 +1,0 Moderates: 16,4 +0,6 Peoples Party: 11,9 +3,9 Greens: 9,9 +4,2 Pirate Party: 7,1 +7,1 Center Party: 6,7 -1,3 Christian Dem: 4,9 -1,0 Left: 5,9 -7,0 June List 3,8 -10,0 Swedish Dems: 3,9 +2,5 Feminist Init.: 1,9 +1,9
Voting percentage sharply up, 6,2 percent higher, from 35% in 2004 to 41,2%.
The Pirate Party has won a huge victory in the Swedish elections and is marching on to Brussels. After months of campaigning against well established parties, the Pirate Party has gathered enough votes to be guaranteed a seat in the European Parliament.
Yarr! A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
With 200 000 votes this time around, getting over 250 000 for national parliament elections in 2010 should be very possible. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
PES: 6 EPP: 4 ALDE: 4 Greens-EFA: 2 GUE/NGL: 1 Uncommitted: 1
(so the Pirate Party would have 1, I don't know about that)
PES: 5 EPP: 5 ALDE: 4 Greens-EFA: 2 GUE/NGL: 1 Uncommitted (PP): 1
Around 16:00 affluence was below 27%, so far lower than in 2004.
PPD/PSD (EPP) - 31% - 8 PS (PES) - 27 - 6 BE (GUE) - 11 - 2 PCP (GUE) - 10 - 2 CDS/PP (EPP) - 8 - 2
Of note 7% of blank/nullified vote. Democratic protest, so it seems.
Catastrophic results for the ruling PS (not as bad as Brown, not even near it). They were expected to win.
The trotsquists-stalinists of the BE (young urbanites) finally overcome the comunists of the PCP (old working class)
This seems final.
This according to the private TV channel SIC. BE was expected to grow, but not this much. I actually know the 3rd MEP from BE and he is a nice libertarian socialist.
Portugal has 22% of votes going to far-left parties, plus 7% of blank/nulls. I guess that that is what happens when the local labour party becomes New Labour and there are alternatives on the left.
Not for PSD but for PS So: 8 PSD EPP 7 PS PES 3 BE GUE 2 PCP GUE 2 CDS EPP
The 22nd is 99% sure for BE, but it can still go for PCP. In any case it is GUE.
Romania exit polls: PSD comes first in European elections, slightly overcoming PD-L. Far-rightist Greater Romania Party leader CV Tudor joins European Parliament de V.O. HotNews.ro Duminică, 7 iunie 2009, 21:12 English | Top News Exit polls in Romania's European Parliament elections on Sunday showed the Social Democrats (PSD) and Liberal Democrats (PD-L) in the lead, with an advantage within error margins for PSD. According to a poll by Insomar institute, PSD won 31% of the votes, followed by PD-L with 30.4%, Liberals (PNL) with 16.6%, Hungarian Democrats (UDMR) with 9.1%, Greater Romania Party (PRM, far right) with 7.2%, President Basescu's daughter Elena Basescu (independent) with 3.6%.Another poll by CCSB showed PSD in the lead with 30.7%, followed by PD-L with 30.4%. According to the CCSB exit poll, the following party received:PNL - 15.4%UDMR - 10.4%PRM - 6.8%Elena Basescu - 3.4%According to the CCSB results:PSD would win 10 seats in the EPPD-L - 10 seatsPNL - 5 seatsUDMR - 4 seatsPRM - 2 seatsElena Basescu, President Basescu's daughter who ran as an independent candidate, is also in the books for 1 seatThe two people leading the populist, far-right group Greater Romania Party are veteran far-right leader Corneliu Vadim Tudor and businessman-politician Gigi Becali.
EPP (53%) 28 seats UEN (30%) 16 seats PES (12%) 6 seats
EPP 31
UEN 12
Socialists 7
EPP-ED: 3 seats PES: 2 seats ALDE: 2 seats
