We can't say that as yet -- some large countries are left, in which the Liberals will do well (Britain, Poland).

_{*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

eu-wide provisionals from europarl.europa.eu: EPP-ED 263-273; PES 155-165; ALDE 78-84; G-EFA 52-56; GUE/NGL 33-37; UEN 33-37

BBC just showed results in so far, those show conservatives holding, PES losing a lot, Greens gaining.

The majority in the parliament is at 369 seats. The PES, Greens-EFA and ALDE hold a maximum projected 296, with the GUE/NGL they have 331. So there's no centre-left majority to be had.

The EPP-ED and ALDE have a maximum projected 353 seats. Add a few from the 'other' parties (like, say, that party the tories are cooking up) and you quickly have a working majority.

So a 'centre-right' victory would seem to be the logical conclusion.

We're already getting implistic conclusions in the FT:

But the election's basic message was that voters in the EU's biggest countries preferred the centre-right to the centre-left at a time of severe recession.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

As noted in the update of the diary, it remains to be seen what happens on the far-right:

• the ID (18 MEP-elects) now looks to be below the 25 seat limit, thus poised for dissolution;
  
• UEN (32 MEP-elects) may fall below the threshold too, with further departures (in particular the 15 of PiS from Poland may join the EC);
  
• though Euronat parties collected only 17 MEP-elects, they may yet manage to cobble together a far-right faction with UEN and ID dropouts.

By my count, there are altogether 37 far-right MEP-elects (23 Non-Inscrits, among them 17 associated with Euronat and/or the late ITS faction; 2 in the ID; 12 in the UEN), which would place them between Greens and GUE/NGL in size. However, they won't all suffer each other in the same faction. Not even all Euronat parties are compatible: above all Jobbik/Hungary and PRM/Romania (both with 3 MEP-elects).

(In the above didn't UKIP and PiS as far-right, BTW -- 'hard right' suffices probably, though I'm not sure about UKIP.)

_{*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.}