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Of course it is not that simple, but it's close enough for government work: the dialogue between a paper and its readers is a relationship. And like all human relationships it conflates over time such that it is difficult to say which side is driving the conflation. It is also not possible to say that all journalists on a paper will toe the editorial line because there are different sections of a paper, which appeal to different sections of the audience. An editor will tolerate off-message articles if they elicit a positive reaction from readers.

The continuing fall in sales and advertising income for almost all newspapers means that content will become even more one-sided in an attempt to hold on to reader loyalty. Loyalty, in this case, means a profiled audience that advertisers use in their media planning. (An audience profile is a detailed analysis of spending habits and other behaviour - a quite surprising amount of statistical information BTW)

But, in the end, the costs of content production, printing and distribution are not met by sales of the paper. The bulk of these costs (and any minor profit) are met by advertising.  

There is still relatively low income from online ads (in the case of the Telegraph, it's a premium banner and sponsored features). But for online media the business model has yet to be worked out.  There are many of them.  The most likely model to succeed, imho, is the "pay for no ads", where the online version is free, but loaded with ads placed within the content. You pay a period subscription to have content delivered without ads. It won't be much - and if you offer up some details about yourself, it will be almost free. Online will be a high volume, low margin business for the big media channels.

But the real way in which readers' views will be manipulated, and by which a media channel is already able run both a print and online edition without doubling costs, is CMS - content management. This means raw content can be automatically repackaged to appear in any programmed print or online layout - simultaneously.

When you hook this up with site visitor monitoring, other purchase behaviour databases and statistical tools, and combine them with <rules> for presenting content based on visitor information, the viewer will have a customized page of both advertising and content. I have not yet thought through the effects this will have, but I am ready to guess that it will allow both greater editorial freedom and a more complex calculation for the media planners.

You, the end user, will have a totally `personalized' edition in the future - whether it is the personalized edition you would have wanted or not.  Most people are too lazy to set up their own parameters for content. If they feel they belong in the right `gang', they will accept what they are given (as has always been the case).

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 11:17:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't believe that "personalised" websites are going to fly, for the simple reason that Computers Are Stupid. Even Google's ads - which are fairly well targeted and backed by an enormous database - are very much hit and miss. If they can't even get my gender and country of residence right more than half the time, I don't see them as sufficiently reliable to run a serious website.

Additionally, you'll have to have a "default" website anyway, that you can display to "virgin" users - that is, users about whom you have insufficient records to generate a custom site (the only identification you get, after all, is an IP - and they change every once in a while).

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:02:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We'll see ;-)


You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:07:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't mean to deny that, as I said, time and technology will put an end to newspapers as they are now.

What I meant by "not so simple" came after those words. Commercial forces and technology don't explain everything. Whatever destiny holds in store for them (da-dum!), newspapers right now are still fairly influential in creating and sustaining conventional wisdom.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:28:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My point was, who is driving who in 'sustaining conventional wisdom'? It's a symbiotic relationship, imo.

Yes, owners (outright like the Barclays thru Press Holdings, or publicly traded like Murdoch) do choose editors, and thus editorials (and more) - but the slant of the paper has to have an audience. I don't think content is a wrapper for delivering editorials, it's a wrapper for advertising products and services. The 'conventional wisdom' is marketing ;-)

But I know we'll have to agree to disagree on this one.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 02:48:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We've agreed to disagree for some time on this. ;)

But I still don't see (in your picture) why wealthy businessfolk like to own newspapers if it's such a constraining and unprofitable deal - unless there's another side to this, which is influence in the political debate.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 04:41:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is the difference between then and now. Ask Conrad or Rupert - it was a licence to print money 'then'. Now major newspapers are not profitable or enough profitable. The political influence is all that remains, and even that was more important in the corridors than on the street corner.

I see most of the major media owners as engaged in a charade of influence.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Jun 29th, 2009 at 05:06:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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