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If you plot the lumps, you get this:

Which is much more noisy than the cumulative totals.

It is well known you cannot apply linear regression to a time series, which is what this is, but only to the successive differences (the "lumps").

The brainless should not be in banking. — Willem Buiter

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 14th, 2009 at 01:42:21 PM EST
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