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So what the HPI is saying about countries which score lower than Haiti is "if you keep at your level of consumption your descendants will be less well-off than you on the other measures"?

The peak-to-trough part of the business cycle is an outlier. Carnot would have died laughing.
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Jul 11th, 2009 at 02:11:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
However, since the HPI is based on absolute footprint and not footprint relative to biocapacity, it does not actually say, "if you keep at your level of consumption your descendents will be less well-off than you" ... it says, "if biocapacity was evenly distributed across the world population, ...".

Which is a clear counter-factual, and that counter-factual is what the index of Haiti highlights.

In terms of sustainability, it would seem to make sense to bring the actual sustainability of the national footprint into the ranking ... something along the lines of ...

[Happiness_Index]*biocapacity/footprint

... though the actual structure of a reasonable index along those lines is not something I've thought through. So if the US is living 50% over our means, Germany is living 50% over its means, and Japan is living 50% over its means, each would have its happiness index scaled down by .67.

Ranking a generally miserable place to live that is consuming beyond its biocapacity highly because their footprint outstrips their biocapacity at such a low absolute footprint they are living beyond such a low per capita biocapacity seems to me to be a flaw in the index.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sat Jul 11th, 2009 at 02:26:34 PM EST
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