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Michael Tomasky's has a good drive, until:

if Georgia were in NATO, the US (and the UK) would in theory be committed to military intervention to defend two provinces in Georgia. That's nuts.

Um, Why? If Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties would be under attack, would he say the same? Or if it were Norfolk and Suffolk? It would be an argument to say that it's nuts for the US and UK to go into a war escalating into nuclear holocaust over two counties of a country that actually kicked off the war; but the above, is just naked superiority complex.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 01:19:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
...or, a view of conflicts in far-away countries as carboard game.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 01:26:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From a purely pragmatic viewpoint, the conventional defence of Suffolk and Norfolk against an invading Russian armada is plausible (the Russians don't have the remotest chance). A conventional defence of Georgia is completely implausible short of garrissoning the country with three or more divisions.

The Baltics may be a better comparison, though even they are much easier to defend. Can't defend easily leads to won't defend, meaning that there are no options between doing nothing and destroying the world. So, on pragmatic grounds, I'd say Tomasky is right. It's nuts.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 05:17:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It would be an argument to say that it's nuts for the US and UK to go into a war escalating into nuclear holocaust over two counties of a country that actually kicked off the war...

The way I read it, that's exactly what he was saying.  Are you reading it to mean, "Georgian lives are not worth defending, but English ones are?"  Perhaps it is parsing words, and that's a valid complaint if that is what he means.  But read in the context of the rest of the article, I didn't get that impression.

Also, Russia isn't in the midst of arm conflict in Suffolk, so how do you blame him for not addressing a hypothetical?  Aliens might invade.  What would he think about that?  I don't know.  But the article questions NATO's need to exist, so I don't think he's pushing some Atlanticist chauvinist agenda.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 01:33:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I took the sentence at face value. That's what it means. If he meant what you think the context gives (but I don't see it), then it's bad wording.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:42:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Russia isn't in the midst of arm conflict in Suffolk,

And Georgia was not a NATO member at the time of last year's war. He was already in hypotheticals.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:44:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 I don't really know where you are coming from.  Am I being subtly discouraged from commenting now?  Do you have some issue you want to get off your chest?

You're too intelligent to equate the "hypothetical" of Georgia gaining entry to NATO to the "hypothetical" of Russia invading Suffolk without appearing disingenuous.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:51:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you have some issue you want to get off your chest?

Sigh. Exactly the one I am trying to communicate in these comments...

equate the "hypothetical" of Georgia gaining entry to NATO to the "hypothetical" of Russia invading Suffolk

  1. Tomasky's hypothetical was Georgia gaining entry in NATO and then going to war with Russia. Methinks that's quite large a hypothetical: the war calculations would be radically altered, on both sides.

  2. My hypothetical did not include "Russia", only an attack by an unspecified power resulting in an activation of NATO common defenses. And the issue was not the attacker, but how Tomasky would feel about it: would he say NATO should not go nuclear about Suffolk and Norfolk with the other power, or would he support defensive measures?


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:58:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The article is about Russia.

NATO was created to, and I quote, "Keep the Russians out."

Georgia and very influential people in America are lobbying, strougly, for Georgia to get NATO membership.

NATO countries are military allies.

That would make the US and Georgia military allies.  

I don't know how I can state this to make it any clearer.

Georgia recently sparked a military conflict with Russia.  Regardless who started it, who deserves the blame for it, I think there is a consensus that Georgian troops and Russian troops were shooting each other.

I suspect, based on logic,  language comprehension, synthesis of information, that the author was saying it would be nuts to risk the two countries which have 95% of the world's nuclear weapons to find themselves face-to-face in a military conflict.

Is it chauvinist to say two little Georgian provinces are not worth blowing up the world to save?  Fine.  They aren't.  But there is nothing in that statement that says, "But two little English provinces are."  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 03:32:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Tomasky's hypothetical was Georgia gaining entry in NATO and then going to war with Russia. Methinks that's quite large a hypothetical: the war calculations would be radically altered, on both sides.

Maybe they would have been further towards escalation on the Georgian side. There is a reasonable argument that NATO military support for Georgia in the years prior to the war drove Saakashvili to be more aggressive.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 05:00:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes.

And you know, given his peculiar decision-making process last August, I'm not convinced that Saak would have conferred with NATO, had Georgia then been a member, before launching an attack on South Ossetia.  Even despite not having the protection of NATO, he nevertheless seemed to assume that his Western allies would support him more explicitly then they did.  And they did support him up to but not including our troops on the ground.  So I'm not convinced NATO membership would have necessarily deterred him, unless there was something in the contract stating that Georgia's membership would be contingent upon not starting fights with Russia.  Secondly, so far as Georgian NATO membership could have been a deterrent to Russia's response, well, yet, it might have.  OTOH, it could also have been the last straw.  People think Russia is on a hair-trigger alert now.  Russia thinks it is being restrained and playing nice now.  They were happy to teach Georgia a lesson.  And they're eager to prove they can teach us things too.  Why go there?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 05:26:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Are you reading it to mean, "Georgian lives are not worth defending, but English ones are?"

That's only implicit. He says two counties are not worth for the USA and the UK to war over. Which throws up the questions of whether he considered defending people at all; and whether he would say the same about any other equally insignificant specks of land that are part of present NATO members.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:49:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The author is asking that NATO be dissolved. So logically, that implies that he doesn't think NATO countries should be treated differently than non-NATO countries.  Because he doesn't want there to be NATO countries.  I think you are really off the mark on this one DoDo.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 02:56:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That sentence still doesn't parse, whether you dissolve NATO or not. If NATO is dissolved, would he argue against closer US ties with Britain on the basis of the crazyness of defening Suffolk and Norfolk (be it attacked by a future EU Evil Empire)?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 03:01:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't know.  Ask him.  That article was about NATO.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 03:33:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And you really can't dismiss the complexity of US-British ties anymore than you can dismiss the complexity  of Georgia-Russia ties.  We have baggage.  We have history.  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 03:36:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Leave it to this crowd to find a way to accuse a rare American calling for the end of NATO of having a "naked superiority complex."  Shocked, shocked, I tell ya.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Wed Jul 8th, 2009 at 03:42:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
why are you writing this?

How can you compare Georgia, an unstable country with unresolved border issues with Russia and a neocon leader, located in an area where we cannot help them militarily other than by going nuclear with a longstanding ally far away from any possible frontline?

Tomasky - and poemless - are completely right on this one.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 9th, 2009 at 06:00:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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