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Saying that an effect is negligible is useful to actually do physics ; but when effects practically emerge out of noise - which is what most of the weather is, when it comes to numbers of hurricanes - the noise that emerge out of a butterfly flapping its wing and the noise that comes from the butterfly not flapping its wings are statistically undistinguishable, and thermodynamically too ; but it doesn't prevent them from having different effects. Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
-- $E(X_t|F_s) = X_s,\quad t > s$
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