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DoDo:
What worries me in this context is the latest poll in Berlin, which shows 12% "other".

Other can be more parties, I have not seen many polls that breaks down "other", but this one from august put Piraten at the same level as the far right.



A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 03:59:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And are these polls normalized, or are there no significant numbers of "undecideds", no-votes, blank votes and refusals?

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake
by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 04:11:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They're normalised.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 04:29:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah! Now that you say it, after that rally a few weeks ago, the Pirates could be behind that increase. You made me less worried :-)

(Now if only it were Pirates rather than fascists at 12% in my own country, and above in my own ward...)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 04:39:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Pirates are probably under-represented in phone polls, they'll definitely come in sixth. IMHO, since they draw both from FDP and Greens, they won't be a deciding factor.
Anyway, my guess is Schwarzgelb (CDU/CSU+FDP) wins less votes, but more seats than the others. Could be a long evening.

"If you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles." Sun Tzu
by Turambar (sersguenda at hotmail com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 05:56:54 PM EST
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