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narrative building "it will be Blair" prior to the Lisbon Treaty having been decided, then the narrative "No to Blair" should get some extra fire power.

There was talk of another roll-out of Stop Blair, and press releases. Press releases can be prepared in advance. Should we?

by Nomad on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 10:06:58 AM EST
Surely we should, but is this article the occasion on which to do it?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 10:49:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Why is Blair not disqualified from consideration in the first instance? He's neither a head of state nor of state legislature nor state minister.

And why shouldn't one identify alternative candidates  among current members of EU parliament or Commission  --if current executive status in a member government is not a requirement of candidacy?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 12:39:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
He's neither a head of state nor of state legislature nor state minister.

Under the Lisbon Treaty, the job is to be a full-time one.

why shouldn't one identify alternative candidates

The Council President won't be democratially elected, it will be elected in the Council -- meaning, there will be lots of cattle-trading and backroom deals and spin campaigns; and lots of names will be brought into discussion (have been brought up) before any official candidacy, some to push the candidate, some to burn the candidate.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 12:48:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.

Under the Lisbon Treaty, the job is to be a full-time one.

I'm to understand then, one of Blair's crucial qualifications is that he's currently unemployed and available to begin "work" immediately?

The Council President won't be democratially elected, it will be elected in the Council

This I understood. And if the honor is emeritus, an election created for Council pensioners by Council members, cultivating popular disapproval of Blair's candidacy is void. Unless some language in the treaty permits Council constituents to disqualify a candidate.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 01:58:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm to understand then, one of Blair's crucial qualifications is that he's currently unemployed and available to begin "work" immediately?

Well he is employed, but bored of the job... as Middle East envoy. He is bored, but I would more say that that disqualifies him....

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 02:03:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My meaning was somewhat facetious :) as Blair is a "retired" prime minister, is he not? I would be reluctant to argue that his many "part-time" occupations entail few obligations other than the odd dinner theater engagement and salary collection.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 03:51:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
However, there is indirect democratic effect. The Council isn't themost popular EU instittution... in fact it is the least popular one. So one reason many consented to ther permanent President idea was that such a President could give a higher profile to the Council, and a good pick could give a better image to this club of the powerful (who would continue to make their backroom deals behind our backs nevertheless).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 02:08:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hmmm. Taken together with the concern down-thread about Council president-elect undermining the EU president, wouldn't a campaign to "stop Blair" acquire greater potency if tied to a campaign to discredit the office itself? The long view suggests, this G8 privilege to disrupt member rotation of influence through EU presidency even as the union expands.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 04:18:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The office itself doesn't need to be discredited, just kept down to size. Who holds the office for the first term will largely help define the post, and it is imperative that this first person be someone who is diplomatic, widely respected and has the proven ability to broker agreements among EU member states and the interest to engage in the boring bits of the job. Blair fails on all counts. He wants the job for self-aggrandizement, he would want to encroach on at least one of the other 4 top EU jobs (the High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy), he is a divider and highly controversial, and he failed to mediate any important agreements among member states while the UK holds the rotating presidency.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 05:48:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Council President won't be democratially elected, it will be elected in the Council

Uh, the members of the Council will elect the President: sounds democratic to me.

Repeat after me: the members of the EU are the states.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 02:06:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And states vote with weighted votes.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 02:09:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Still democratic.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 05:42:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Then, is a stockholder vote democratic?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 01:32:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I suppose so.

What are the conditions for democracy? Is one-man-one-vote one of them? Is representative democracy democratic?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 01:36:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There is a fundamental difference here: In the Union, voting weights are determined by population (although in a slower than linear manner), in a stockholder meeting the voting weights are determined by monetary clout.

The analogy to the stockholder's meeting would be accurate if voting weights were determined by GDP. Or by GDP pro capita.

(That aside, the parallels between the modern Western, spin-mediated version of democracy and the stockholder's meeting are eerily accurate at times.)

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 02:43:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Two points.

First, is the IMF not democratic since votes are proportional to budgetary contributions?

What of Penrose's square-root rule and the power index? Why is "slower than linear with population" a bad thing?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 02:48:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
First, is the IMF not democratic since votes are proportional to budgetary contributions?

Yes, the IMF is not democratic. (The fact that votes are weighted according to budget contributions is probably the least of the democratic problems, but that's the IMF for you...)

What of Penrose's square-root rule and the power index? Why is "slower than linear with population" a bad thing?

I didn't mean to say that they were a bad thing. There are as many sound cases for having slower than linearly increasing voting weights as there are sound cases against it.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat Sep 26th, 2009 at 04:01:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Colman:
The Council President won't be democratially elected, it will be elected in the Council

Uh, the members of the Council will elect the President: sounds democratic to me.

Does not sound democratic to me.

Suppose you elect an assembly that elects an assembly that elects an assembly that meets behind closed doors to elect a person. Sure you got to vote, but put in that many steps between your vote an the last decision and you will have no influence over that last decision. (I think that is what they use in Cuba.)

Colman:

Repeat after me: the members of the EU are the states.

And I think the hallmark of democracy it that the citizens - the demos if you like - is the deciding power.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Tue Oct 6th, 2009 at 04:41:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Grooks by Piet Hein
MAJORITY RULE

His party was the Brotherhood of Brothers,
and there were more of them than of the others.
That is, they constituted that minority
which formed the greater part of the majority.
Within the party, he was of the faction
that was supported by the greater fraction.
And in each group, within each group, he sought
the group that could command the most support.
The final group had finally elected
a triumvirate whom they all respected.
Now, of these three, two had final word,
because the two could overrule the third.
One of these two was relatively weak,
so one alone stood at the final peak.
He was: THE GREATER NUMBER of the pair
which formed the most part of the three that were
elected by the most of those whose boast
it was to represent the most of the most
of most of most of the entire state
-- or of the most of it at any rate.
He never gave himself a moment's slumber
but sought the welfare of the greater number.
And all people, everywhere they went,
knew to their cost exactly what it meant
to be dictated to by the majority.
But that meant nothing, -- they were the minority.

Is that about Tony Blair?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Oct 6th, 2009 at 04:51:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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