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Given that Frederik Reinfeldt is on record as saying that most smaller member states don't want "a strong leader" as European Council president (e.g. European Voice, 2 July) the only chance for Blair is strong support from Merkel, Sarkozy and Brown. A big part of their thinking (well not so much Brown's ;-)) is going to be to what extent they're willing to allow themselves to be eclipsed by the new president. In that context, obviously Blair is a very different proposition from Balkenende, amongst others.

Both Merkel and Sarkozy have recently held the presidency of course, and won't expect to do it again. Whereas i.a. Spain's, Poland's and others' leaders will have their own expectations regarding their forthcoming presidencies and thoughts about the sort of person they will wish to "share" with. No member of the European Council is going to want to hang around like a spare part during their national presidency, so that factor will surely weigh heavily on the choices of those next in line.

On another point, this article seems to take it for granted that the most important role of the president is to be the face of the EU, but I would argue that the behind-the-scenes role is more important.

Firstly, the president needs to be able to achieve consensus in the European Council. Then they need to be able to build mutually supportive relationships with the Commission president, the high representative, the foreign minister and leader of each successive six-monthly presidency, and to a lesser extent with other presidency-country ministers, Commissioners and key figures in the EP.

And what about the officials supporting the president? Look at the importance of the permanent rep in the current rotating presidency. Is the president going to have a representative in Coreper, or will the permanent reps run rings around them? Will the president have the staff to get to work in the member states' capitals, as the embassies of rotating presidencies currently do?

This sort of article is about focusing on the aspects of the job for which Blair supporters presumably believe he is best qualified. But what about the rest, is it really his thing?

by koksapir on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 11:50:38 AM EST
Excellent comment. In order to push Blair for the post, they first need to define the post as if it were tailormade for Blair, or those supposed facets of Blair they think are "marketable".

And they also have to ignore the aims and hopes of a very considerable slice of the EU, both in terms of leaders and functionaries, but also of member states: the smaller states have no interest in seeing a president from a major country define the presidency for years to come as a high-profile job for big-country candidates.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 12:24:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
article is about focusing on the aspects of the job for which Blair supporters presumably believe he is best qualified

You have to remember whose ideait was to put the European Council President into the Constitution and then the Lisbon Treaty. Yes, Bliar. And he was mightily displeased back then that the others, for all the reasons you name, cut back on the remit of this post compared to his original vision.

So the article is focusing on the aspects of the job Bliar wanted to create the job for in the first place.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Sep 25th, 2009 at 12:43:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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