What are the odds that the next election in the UK is going to yield a government capable of understanding what they're saying?
Zero.
You've outlined most of why in your response to In Wales.
Question... I was feeling too delicate to venture into the comments section of that page - is it as bad as usual?
If so... well... that highlights what an uphill battle changing the psychological environment around this issue is... after all this isn't a column published in The Times...
So, judging by what you say, teenage pregnancy is more to do with poverty than choice. Not according to the Telegraph 03 January 2009.
Not according to the Telegraph? No fucking shit.
I gave up there.
Free-markets are "A-OK" because on aggregate society gets richer. (Ignoring for now, as they do, that the evidence suggests this isn't true.)
but...
Teenage pregnancy rises can't be about the system, we have to analyse at the individual level.