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Tories have 2 point lead in marginal seats | Top News | Reuters

LONDON (Reuters) - The Conservatives have a two point lead over Labour in marginal seats, a poll showed on Thursday, a further indication that Britain could be heading for an inconclusive election.

Thirty-nine percent of those polled said they would vote Conservative, and 37 percent said they would support Labour in the YouGov/Channel 4 News survey of 60 key marginal seats.



Ad astra per aspera
by In Wales (inwales aaat eurotrib.com) on Thu Mar 4th, 2010 at 01:26:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm surprised that Ashcroft's millions have only shifted the target seats by 2 per cent. Still, I imagine that'll be enough.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Mar 4th, 2010 at 04:42:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Johann Hari
In the sudden slurry of revelations about Michael Ashcroft, are we missing the bigger picture - and a far larger scandal? The immediate disgrace is plain enough. The billionaire Ashcroft has jostled his way into the heart of the Conservative Party, and altered the shape of British politics, with money hoarded away in a tax haven. He evidently finds the idea of paying a small share of his fortune to keep his country's schools and hospitals and defence running so abhorrent that he would rather stash the vast majority of his cash in the bitterly poor tax haven of Belize. (He pays no tax at all there, despite the fact that 30 per cent of the country's children go hungry.) And he did it all disingenuously: when he was scraped into the House of Lords on William Hague's recommendation in 2000, he gave a "clear and unequivocal assurance" he would become a "permanent" resident in Britain.


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Mar 4th, 2010 at 09:27:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Great cartoon in the Independent about Ashcroft and Hague

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Mar 5th, 2010 at 03:52:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That'll be nowhere near enough. A 2% leads in the marginals at this stage is a disaser for Plastic Dave.

A lot of people - who care at all - are feeling that a hung parliament is the best possible outcome.

It'll give the LibDems some leverage they wouldn't have had otherwise. Let's see what they do with it.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri Mar 5th, 2010 at 09:27:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I understood that it meant that the marginals showed a tendency to be 2% more inclined to the tories than they ought to be. So a seat which was tending x% is now tending x+2 to the tories. Which in a marginal is actually a significant advantage.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Mar 5th, 2010 at 10:30:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The channel's political editor Gary Gibbon said the result pointed to a "hung parliament" in which the Conservatives would have the largest number of seats but would be 11 seats short of a majority. Britain last had a hung parliament in 1974.

Financial markets, which are focussed on Britain's record deficit and want the next government to tackle it aggressively, do not like the prospect of a hung parliament.

They fear wrangling between the parties could delay painful but necessary public spending cuts.

Financial markets don't like democracy, it's too messy...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Mar 5th, 2010 at 10:29:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am increasingly of the opinion that whatever markets want, we should advise the opposite.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Mar 5th, 2010 at 10:31:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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