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The number was selected as that which makes debt remain constant at 60% of GDP at "normal" growth rates
I'm assuming that's a back-of-the-envelope calculation. Can you spell it out for me? I just don't see it.

Also, please remember to mention whether one needs to assume that "the recession is an outlier" in the definition of "'normal' growth rates".

What size of the government revenue as a fraction of GDP is assumed for the calculation?

How long and deep is the business cycle assumed to be in the calculation?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Feb 5th, 2010 at 11:16:59 AM EST
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In addition, I thought debt at 60% GDP was not a guideline value but the maximum allowed. As such, it shouldn't be the target during "normal growth".

Also, the 3% was also supposed to be a maximum allowed deficit, not a guideline value during normal growth.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Feb 5th, 2010 at 11:25:33 AM EST
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