And it's not that there is a transfer of wealth from "firms" to workers, but that there is a transfer of wealth from bankers, traders, and firm owners to workers. Clearly if firms go out of business, workers are hurt as well or more than owners. But what I argue is that there is no reason to believe that a flight to the DM in today's Europe would result in the closure of any Spanish manufacturing firms. (It might result in a few banks and merchant houses closing shop, but that's part of the transfer of welfare.)
Spain is not Indonesia, so it's pretty questionable whether currency speculation could result in anything but a very temporary change in the exchange rate. The daily flow of huge amounts of goods and services over borders would have to eventually push rates back to levels consistent with country's current account balances. However, under a fixed rate regime like the euro provides, an imbalance such as high unemployment might only be solved through transfers of wealth from richer countries or migration, both of which are also highly restricted.
I think a large part of the dissonance on this topic comes from two different ways of defining what the EU really is. For many, particularly here, the EU is an institutional framework for international governance, which puts it against the neo-liberal narrative. However, for many others, the EU is primarily a free trade agreement, epitomizing the victory of merchants over the medieval militarists who established castles every few kilometers on the Rhine River to soak the traders on their barges. This view places the EU project squarely in support of the neo-liberal narrative. Generally, common currencies and currency pegging are pro-neo-liberal policies meant to support the welfare of traders and bankers at the expense of workers and local governance, so the establishment of the euro ahead of a stronger, continental welfare policy framework can look alot like the neo-liberals are winning.
And it's not that there is a transfer of wealth from "firms" to workers, but that there is a transfer of wealth from bankers, traders, and firm owners to workers.
Citation needed.
Preferably more than one.
Legal persons own things. En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
The question is - what evidence do you have that proves your contention that wealth is transferred from owners to workers?
The same question goes the other way: What evidence do you have that wealth is transferred from workers to owners when a currency crisis occurs? It might just as easily be a transfer of wealth from capitalist-owners to capitalist currency traders and thus have only minor welfare effects in terms of workers and other more vulnerable populations.
Sweden had in 70ies and 80ies fought unemployment with a series of devaluations, all the while having a high inflation which ate the gains of the devaluations. This had several effects, one of them was creating a generation with next to no mortgages on their houses, as inflation had been higher then interests rates for a long period.
On the other hand Sweden had a currency crises in the early 90ies which served as the starting point for neoliberal reforms and the socdems taking the third way. Similar crises, same country, different result. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
For many, particularly here, the EU is an institutional framework for international governance, which puts it against the neo-liberal narrative. However, for many others, the EU is primarily a free trade agreement, epitomizing the victory of merchants over the medieval militarists who established castles every few kilometers on the Rhine River to soak the traders on their barges.
I like that description of the debate. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
It is also questionable whether a 6% stock market drop could result in anything but a very temporary loss of loan collateral for shereholders. And yet the political class is in a panic over "investors" because the dominant ideology tells them to. En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
It's not for nothing that I sometimes say that the Brussels Consensus is taking the place of the Washington Consensus with much the same effects. En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
This is like when you were claiming a housing bubble followed by a wave of defaults is a net transfer of wealth from financiers to homeowners. En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma