ExxonMobil expects bascially flat energy consumption in the West, and sharply growing elsewhere.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

Amongst interesting predictions:

• no growth in coal use (this, despite the fact that pretty much ALL growth in primary energy production over the past 10 years has come from Chinese coal producton increases);
  
• the biggest source of emissions growth is increased gas consumption in the power sector (of course, ExxonMobil has positioned itself on the gas sector lately).

ExxonMobil sees subsantial efforts in terms of the energy intensity of our economies, both in the OECD and elsewhere, and absolute declines in emissions from the West.

Of course, this is largely BAU, somewhat constrained by vaguely greener rules, and it's insufficient.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

"I think the trends we're seeing are all pointing in the same direction," he says.
"Oil is a challenge, both price and availability.
"Regulations about environments are going to get tougher and tougher.
"I think the new generation is much more demanding about respect for the environment than we have ever imagined."