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It is not that the US has anything approaching a credible medium-term fiscal framework, but everyone else is in much worse shape.

This is silly. Germany is clearly not in a worse shape, for one. and Germany is the country that matters here.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Feb 11th, 2010 at 05:23:43 AM EST
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In such a situation, we should expect that investors scramble for the safest assets available - "cash", which means short-term US government securities.  It is not that the US has anything approaching a credible medium-term fiscal framework, but everyone else is in much worse shape.
But you're right, the decision to go to short-term US tresury securities is not based on any actual comparison of medium-term fiscal prospects.

After all, who cares about medium-term fiscal prospects when you're trading three-month bills?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Feb 11th, 2010 at 05:41:30 AM EST
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