LONDON (MNI) - The large 'AAA' sovereign borrowers - like the US, UK, France and Germany - have 'exceptional financing flexibility', Fitch Ratings said today, but warned this is not enough to maintain their current rating. The major AAA states must set out further credible consolidation plans in 2010 to secure their triple-A ratings, the ratings agency announced today in its 'Sovereign Review and Outlook' for 2010:
The major AAA states must set out further credible consolidation plans in 2010 to secure their triple-A ratings, the ratings agency announced today in its 'Sovereign Review and Outlook' for 2010:
Is Fitch a single French company with offices in London and New York or are these independent companies? It would seem that there might be peril to a rating company with a history of recent questionable ratings, no downgrades prior to defaults, etc. if their actions appear poised to further damage the financial stability of the country in which the operate. One could imagine a new-found interest in their performance in 2008 in certain countries.
One could also imagine a phone call from someone at, say, Goldman Sachs to Fitch or S&P innocently inquiring as to what the appropriate fee might be to rate new bond issues from, say, the US Treasury. A downgrade of a major sovereign issue could introduce volatility that could require lots of additional re-ratings. How do we assess the issue of conflict of interest in such circumstances? Or does anyone bother? As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
You wonder if Gollum Sacks (for instance), might offer payment to a rating agency to diss US Treasuries (for instance)? You smoking powerful stuff. Not so much because of the first part of the supposition. Change US Treasuries for some foreign government's bonds, it might work.
Does anyone care why three American (in spite of a French billionaire owning Fitch) agencies can keep quiet about steaming piles of (US) junk, but make rumbling noises about foreign sovereigns that in fact push the market around? It hasn't seemed to bother anyone in the centre of world financial power to date.
There has been talk recently of creating European rating agencies to compete with this American quasi-monopoly.
You wonder if Gollum Sacks (for instance), might offer payment to a rating agency to diss US Treasuries (for instance)?
You smoking powerful stuff.