In all likelihood it will again be another battle between CDA and PvdA, two parties that don't really give the impression they can stand each other at the moment. Wilders has already begun a strategy against PvdA, knowing well that he stands the best chance of a coalition with power besotted CDA.

I won't be surprised if Balkenende will stick as long as CDA becomes the biggest - even if the results will be another loss of seats for the CDA under Balkenende.

CDA lost 3 seats in the 2006 elections, and now has 41 seats. From the top of my head, CDA is now polling 27 seats as the biggest party, but the trend is down. PVV is polling steady at 24 seats - 2 less than the Pim Fortuyn Party in 2002, which I find a useful reference frame.