I'm not so sure. There are some hints, such as the Petraeus report and Biden's reported outburst, that suggest that the pressure is coming mainly from the U.S. military. I'm not sure what Obama will do, faced with pressure from AIPAC, on the one hand, and the U.S. military on the other. I suspect that the latter might just be more powerful. As the Foreugn Policy source I cited above says:
There are important and powerful lobbies in America: the NRA, the American Medical Association, the lawyers -- and the Israeli lobby. But no lobby is as important, or as powerful, as the U.S. military. While commentators and pundits might reflect that Joe Biden's trip to Israel has forever shifted America's relationship with its erstwhile ally in the region, the real break came in January, when David Petraeus sent a briefing team to the Pentagon with a stark warning: America's relationship with Israel is important, but not as important as the lives of America's soldiers. Maybe Israel gets the message now.
The only thing that will matter is if they turn off he money and weapons tap and we know that ain't gonna happen. Sure DC can huff and puff but Netenyahu can yank their chain and they know it. keep to the Fen Causeway
Really? I must have missed that. When? And presumably they want Israel to keep quiet until then.
This may not really be the military applying pressure, of course. These may be coordinated leaks, designed to provide Obama with a backup excuse. He may be testing how powerful the lobby is before deciding what to do. The noise the lobby is making right now may reflect their power, or their weakness; I can't tell. Chances are that Obama will give in, but there may be some point where Israel overreaches, and I suspect we won't know immediately when it happens.
