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Forget about the US in connection with Germany. Half of Germany's exports are to the rest of the EU. There, Germany benefits from the single market, can use Euro membership to effectively keep their currency undervalued with respect to what the DM would have done had it not been for the Euro. In addition, German capital enjoyed access to new markets where they could buy assets cheaply when the EU expanded in 2004, while at the same time claiming that the had an economic crisis going on at home and they could not allow the Eastern Europeans to work in Germany after 2006 (this was at the peak of the business cycle!).  

The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 11:47:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Migeru:
Half of Germany's exports are to the rest of the EU

Two-thirds.

43-44% to the Eurozone.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 11:53:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The last third is the most important one.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Fri Mar 19th, 2010 at 07:38:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Because the rest of the world can indefinitely absorb the exports of mercantilist countries? That's what this thread is about.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Mar 19th, 2010 at 05:18:53 PM EST
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What is the point of Mecantilism? To own your trading partners or to pwn them?

The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 06:42:13 AM EST
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ok with your remark that taking away the others option to devalue by introducing the EUR. That's true. However, why did other countries always have to devalue against the DM?

German capital was able to move just like any other capital. And I would assume that the capital in another country could possible be positive for that country current account.

Eastern Europeans working in Germany. OK, there were some restrictions but a LOT of stuff on the construction market (housing, streets) is done on the black market. What the net effect of that is, I don't know...

by crankykarsten (cranky (where?) gmx dot organisation) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 11:53:59 AM EST
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However, why did other countries always have to devalue against the DM?

Because German monetary policy has a deflationary bias, and because German industrial policy is export-driven.

The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 11:59:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
what German industrial policy ?
by crankykarsten (cranky (where?) gmx dot organisation) on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 12:09:21 PM EST
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Increasing competitiveness of German industries is hardly that novel a policy goal.
Add to that pressure on the low-wage sector and VAT increases that both decrease domestic purchasing power and of course imports and you end up with unsustainable large trade surpluses.

Wait this is important. Someone is wrong on the Internet.
by generic on Thu Mar 18th, 2010 at 12:47:24 PM EST
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