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The demographic breakdowns: Tea Party activists are 60 percent male and 80 percent white, with 77 percent of them self-identifying as "conservatives" and 44 percent identifying as "Republicans." While 47 percent of Americans report making less than $50,000 a year, only 26 percent of Tea Party activists make that little, while 34 percent make $75,000 or more. The major way in which this movement differs from the Republican Party's makeup is in geography. Only 31 percent live in the South. Twenty-nine percent live in the Midwest, and 28 percent live in the West. Only in the Northeast, where 13 percent of activists live, are they relatively underrepresented (19 percent of all poll respondents live there).

I didn't expect the age breakdown:

18-29 20% (Tea Party Activists) 20% (All Respondents)
30-49 40% to 35%
50-64 29% to 27%
65+  12% - 17%

Suggesting these yahoos are going to be around for a long, long, time.  

The semi-good news is they appear to be spread-out across the country and are politically aligned within/to the Republican Party.  Their numbers suggest, to me, they are numerous enough to 'throw' GOP primaries to their candidate.  Their numbers are low enough that should their candidate win it is doubtful that candidate would win the general - as we saw in the NY-23 by-election.

Males 18 to 29 are the most violent demographic and they are easily manipulated into violence.  I would not be surprised if a wave of violence following HCR passage, if it does pass, by this group a la Timothy McVeigh.  The difference would - could - be these people lack his military training suggesting outbreaks would be more "lynch mob" than terrorist.  

But I don't know that.  

What is certain, to me, is the preconditions for a guerrilla terrorist campaign exist in the US.  The Tea Bag demographic provides enough of a support group or base for a considerable number of operatives.  What they don't have (I hope) is access to the logistics organization required to keep them in the field.  

If they do and enough of them decide to go actively hostile ... things could get real ugly real fast here.

by ATinNM on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 06:38:08 PM EST
Maybe I'm being optimistic, but I don't think violence is likely because most of them will be cowards. Their idea of heroics will be watching a Chuck Norris movie and saying 'Fuck, yeah!' a lot.

If real shooting starts, with real pain, you won't see them for dust.

A tiny, tiny proportion may graduate to blowing actual shit up, but they'll be the most psychotic ones, and not representative of the majority.

I lurk on some of the wacko boards just to see what the crazies are zeitgeisting, and they're not particularly unanimous about anything much - not even about HCR.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 06:50:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm only saying the preconditions exist.  

If they do escalate and if we go by history it will be more KKK than IRA.

by ATinNM on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 07:02:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The more that these guys go on, the more that I think that the US needs something like the provision in the German Basic Law that forbids anti-system parties from participating in politics.  The idea being that if you refuse to operate within the rules of the system, you have no right to take power in it. It would take a constitutional amendment, but it would be well worth it.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 07:28:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'd prefer to keep 'em within the System.  As long as they think they can impose their demands through "legitimate" political action the less the incentive to go terrorist.
by ATinNM on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 08:09:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... the Democratic Party would have been in danger of being certified as an anti-system party.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sun Mar 21st, 2010 at 10:00:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Daily Kos wasn't known for threatening violence.

Violent fantasies seem very much like a tea bagger hobby.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 07:53:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, terrorism.... as defined under the law of most US States and the Federal government is the use/threat of violence in order to influence public opinion.

Individuals/organizations that threaten the use of violence to influence public opinion have no place in a democracy.  And the trick with the Germans, is that they have a strong tradition of a civil service that defends democracy.  The bureaucracy there isn't politicized, there's the idea of an independent public interest that supercedes that of any one party.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 10:25:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And the trick with the Germans, is that they have a strong tradition of a civil service that defends democracy.  The bureaucracy there isn't politicized, there's the idea of an independent public interest that supercedes that of any one party.

Whereas Americans generally have a hard time telling the difference between nonpartisan and bipartisan.

The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 10:33:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Whereas Americans generally have a hard time telling the difference between nonpartisan and bipartisan.

Jesus, ain't that the truth. Of course the recognition that there is an independent public interest implies that society does in fact exist.  

And for the neo-liberals in charge (don't think that Democrats are exempt from this) society is like Santa Claus.  It only exists if you believe in it.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 11:13:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Seems to be based on runaway self-centeredness, caused by WWII parents spoiling their children, and then from consumerism overcoming Depression caution. Really, just Marx made true.

Align culture with our nature.
by ormondotvos (ormond no spam lmi net no spam) on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 07:26:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is also true that waterboarding is torture. Truth got in the way of what Resident Bush's regime wanted to do?

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 10:43:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is also true that waterboarding is torture. Truth got in the way of what Resident Bush's regime wanted to do?

And that's precisely why the Bush administration argued that a legal basis for this treatment existed because the individuals against whom it was used fell under the category of "unlawful combatants" and thus were not afforded the protections provided by the Geneva Conventions. Note that even where the Bush administration intended to break the spirit of the law, they were forced to find a basis for their actions in the word of the law. This shows how having a law that is independent of the political process it regulates constrains action.

The point being that if there was a constitutional provision to ban organizations that employ political violence or the threat of it, groups like the teabaggers wouldn't have Republican congressperson speaking at their rallies.  They would be marginalized.  

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 11:21:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not only is there no constitutional provision to ban violence, but violence is supposedly a patriotic right and duty against an evil and tyrannical etc etc etc government.

Tea bagger knuckle-draggers can persuade themselves that shooting the Pres is a patriotic thing to do.

It's really a constitutional issue - the constitution explicitly frames violence as a legitimate tool of policy.

This is one of the key differences between the US and Europe. I don't think Lisbon, for all of its flaws, suggests that armed overthrow of Brussels is in any way a good potential plan.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 01:24:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This shows how having a law that is independent of the political process it regulates constrains action.

How has the MCA to remove jurisdiction to military tribunal, circumscribe civil litigation, and define  "enhanced interrogation techniques" constrained lawful treatment of persons ("alien unpriviledged belligerents") in US custody, actually?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 05:44:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... to actually find a basis for their actions in the word of the law, they were only forced to go through the motions of pretending to find a basis for their actions in the word of the law.

Why would there be any doubt that if the hypothetical constitutional provision existed, they would have used it as an enemies list? Remember that they added, for example, green activists and advocates of non-violence on terrorist watchlists after 9-11.

I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Mar 22nd, 2010 at 05:59:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Free speech is, but inciting to riot, or riot itself, are not permitted actions.

"advocacy of violent overthrow of the government" is a good phrase to google.

From Yates:

    "[T]hat indoctrination of a group in preparation for future violent action, as well as exhortation to immediate action, by advocacy found to be directed to "action for the accomplishment" of forcible overthrow, [directed] to violence "as a rule or principle of action," and employing "language of incitement," ... is not constitutionally protected when the group is of sufficient size and cohesiveness, is sufficiently oriented towards action, and other circumstances are such as reasonably to justify apprehension that action will occur. (p. 321)"

http://www.answers.com/topic/yates-v-united-states

Align culture with our nature.

by ormondotvos (ormond no spam lmi net no spam) on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 07:35:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not really happy with the German example. The last effort to forbid the NPD failed because it was infiltrated up to its highest levels by the secret service.
And conversely being a socialist is enough to attract attention from the Verfassungsschutz.

Parteien: Verfassungsschutz behält Linkspartei unter Beobachtung - Nachrichten - DerWesten

Der Präsident des Bundesamtes für Verfassungsschutz (BfV), Heinz Fromm, hält eine Beobachtung der Partei Die Linke weiterhin für erforderlich. Der Partei gehörten immer noch ,,offen extremistische Zusammenschlüsse wie die Kommunistische Plattform" an, sagte Fromm der Tageszeitung ,,Die Welt" vom Montag. In programmatischen Aussagen sei zudem nach wie vor von einer ,,Veränderung der Eigentums- und Herrschaftsverhältnisse" die Rede.

You will note that the Left is not accused of political violence but of planning to change the distribution of property.

Wait this is important. Someone is wrong on the Internet.

by generic on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 10:24:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I concur. I'm actually much more worried what the DHS could do with a threat of domestic terrorism. Now possible to liberal cheers.

Wait this is important. Someone is wrong on the Internet.
by generic on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 09:53:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
possibly

Wait this is important. Someone is wrong on the Internet.
by generic on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 09:54:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What is certain, to me, is the preconditions for a guerrilla terrorist campaign exist in the US.  
 
I don't mean to be optimistic, but a true guerrilla campaign is impossible, because there is no resource base for it.  (Guerrillas got to eat, but the food  supply is in corporate hands, for example.)

Pseudo-guerrillas, funded and protected by major corporations is another matter--and, yeah, I expect that.  

Or drug wars, supported by drug cartels, as in Mexico, are also possible.  A miniature drug war pursued by a drug dealing motorcycle gang in a remote part of California, may well be happening right now.  

The Teabaggers are a publicity/propaganda stunt, directed by corporate interests--seemingly without the knowledge of the participants.  In short, tools.  They may cause effective disruption, but are not up to any real fighting.  

The Fates are kind.

by Gaianne on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 01:31:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I really don't think corporations are funding or driving the Tea Party. That seems to attribute to intelligence what can easily be explained by emotion.

Americans are taught to avoid political ANALYSIS at all costs. They recoil from it like it was a snake or scorpion. It's taught from kindergarten, using the desire to have fake harmony and group cohesion.

When that teaching goes awry, you get this type of intolerant ranting against the Other.

Thank you, liberal educationists. Every child a winner, all dissidents go sit in the corner.

Align culture with our nature.

by ormondotvos (ormond no spam lmi net no spam) on Wed Mar 31st, 2010 at 07:55:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But as you say, there is very little thinking going on.  

That is okay:  There are folks to do your thinking for you.  That is where the corporations come in.  

I do not say this on my own surmise.  The Exile has been following the Tea Party from the outset.  The case they make is that it is astroturf.  (Astroturf, which literally is artificial grass, refers to seemingly popular movements that are actually centrally organized or funded.  In the US it is certainly the new way of doing politics, and cuts out the messiness of actual popular movements.)  

I know of nothing that gainsays their analysis.  

The Fates are kind.

by Gaianne on Fri Apr 2nd, 2010 at 01:08:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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