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I read somebody saying that the reason why Gordon "bottled" the "2007 election that never was" was because Labour need the Lib Dem support to be in the low to mid 20s to damage the conservative vote sufficiently for them to win. At the time, the LDs were in the mid-teens and so the conservative vote would have been too strong.

An LD surge hurts the tories more than labour.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 08:36:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Possibly, but I thought at the time Brown had gotten a good bump in the polls leading up to the election that never happened.  If he'd won it, he'd probably be safe, waiting out the recession until 2012.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 10:47:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe, who knows ? If you could have made such a prediction accurately, you'd be working for Rahm now. hindsight is 20/20, foresight less so.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 11:40:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Don't be silly, if I could make such a prediction accurately, Rahm would call me a DFH and try to take credit for people I got elected without actually hiring me.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 11:53:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
From what I gathered....

The reason Brown decided not to go in 2007 was because the polling in the key marginals was very poor. It was the first time they noticed the effect of Ashcroft's money.

Money is a sign of Poverty - Culture Saying

by RogueTrooper on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 04:58:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
entirely possible. There are as many theories as there are commentators. Personally I put it down to Brown's demonstrable indecision and a rationale that couldn't see the point of risking a perfectly excellent landslide majority just to gain some personal mandate, something which  had a dubious merit, especially as the people who most wanted it were those who most wanted him out.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun Apr 18th, 2010 at 05:51:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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