A few Tory mavericks and the Murdock media campaigning against AV is one thing. Cameron and the Tory part of the Government campaigning against their Lib Dem colleagues is quite a different matter. I could see this becoming the game breaker. Its all very well the Lib Dems abstaining on a couple of Parliamentary votes by prior agreement. But the two parties campaigning against each other on an absolutely fundamental issue will do nothing for the longevity of the Government.
Of course if the British people had any sense they would vote for AV precisely because the two main parties are against it, and in a low poll the Lib Dems might actually beat both major parties. After all, AV changes nothing except giving people effectively more than one vote - or making their one vote count as part of the final determination of who gets the seat and ending the spectre of "wasted votes" and pointless candidacies . In theory its a win win for the voters.
But never underestimate the power of the media and the establishment to persuade people to vote against their own best interests.... Frank's Home Page and Diary Index