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Is there a realistic scenario to avert the end of the European social model?

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 05:45:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Convincing people to vote for left-wing governments would be a start...

Wind power
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 08:59:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
First left-wing parties would have to abandon the Neoclassical economics consensus.

The Counter-Enlightenment, its Economic Program - and the Classical Alternative By Michael Hudson (February 5, 2010)

The last few years have seen demoralized Social Democratic and Labour parties fall into disarray throughout the world. Retreating from the economic program that powered their takeoff a century ago, they have lost their traditional constituencies. Their golden age was an outgrowth of classical political economy from Adam Smith via John Stuart Mill to Progressive Era reformers advocating progressive taxation of land and other wealth, public infrastructure investment at subsidized prices, price regulation of monopolies, and public banking reforms to socialize the financial system.

Today, the parties of the left and even the centre have reversed the reform agenda advocated a century ago in the Progressive Era. They have endorsed a tax shift off property and finance onto labor and consumers; privatization of public infrastructure and enterprises; and deregulation of monopolies, above all that of banking and high finance. The result is an almost universal anti-government (and indeed, pro-rentier) model that leaves resource allocation and planning centralized in the hands of a financial sector that is being deregulated rather than steered along the social lines anticipated a century ago.

...

... We are having a meeting of European Social Democratic parties next May to draft a common program. We plan to reintroduce the classical economic reform of the tax system.

I have seen no discussion of this in the press, except for my own write-ups in the Financial Times. There is a case of cognitive dissidence when it comes to structural financial and fiscal reform. Most people are not aware that there really is a workable alternative, and indeed one that was viewed for a century as being the free market alternative - a market free of unearned income and "empty" pricing. The problem is that students no longer are taught that economic thinkers have spent the last seven centuries discussing better modes of taxation, banking and pricing. They came to a similar conclusion, based on the ability to distinguish between economically necessary costs and income, and unnecessary costs. The aim was to complete what was viewed as the economic program of industrial capitalism: to throw off the remaining legacy of feudalism, above all the landlord class that used to be called the idle rich, but also predatory bankers. These two classes now have joined forces to become a new aggressive power - financial speculators unnecessary for the industrial economy to operate but actually are slowing it down.

The most important plank of our entire program concerns the tax system. ...

This is going to be the plank of our reform program - reforming the reformers - against which banks and the EU will fight most viciously. But fiscal reform must be a key element in financial reform, because the two forms of reform are symbiotic. By taxing the land, we are preventing its rental value from being capitalized into bank loans. Our aim is to lead bank credit to focus on actually creating new means of production, not simply bolstering the privatized market price of unproductive, extractive privileges and property claims.



By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 09:07:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
left alternatives to the SocDem neo-liberal catimiti...

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant
by redstar on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 10:27:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Who?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 10:32:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In France, Front de Gauche. In Germany, Die Linke. In the Netherlands, the Socialist Party. just speaking of Neighbors...

Fai de bèn a Bertrand, te lou rendra en cagant
by redstar on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 10:34:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hudson:
I have seen no discussion of this in the press, except for my own write-ups in the Financial Times.
FT.com / UK - Eastern Europe won't pay what it can't pay (April 8 2010) [my emphasis]
Greece is just the first in a series of European debt bombs about to go off. Mortgage debts in the post-communist economies and Iceland are more explosive. Although most of these countries are not in the eurozone, their debts are largely denominated in euros. Some 87 per cent of Latvia's debts are in euros or other foreign currencies, and are owed mainly to Swedish banks, while Hungary and Romania owe euro-debts mainly to Austrian banks. These governments have been borrowing [from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund] not to finance a budget deficit, as in Greece, but to support their exchange rates and thereby prevent a private-sector default to foreign banks.
What!?
Bankers in Sweden and Austria, Germany and Britain are about to discover that extending credit to nations that cannot (or will not) pay may be their problem, not that of their debtors. No one wants to accept the fact that debts that cannot be paid, will not be. Someone must bear the cost as debts go into default or are written down, to be paid in sharply depreciated currencies, and many legal experts find debt agreements calling for repayment in euros unenforceable. Every sovereign nation has the right to legislate its own debt terms, and the coming currency re-alignments and debt write-downs will be much more than mere "haircuts".

...

Another by-product of the Great Depression in the US and Canada was to free mortgage debtors from personal liability, making it possible to recover from bankruptcy. Foreclosing banks can take possession of collateral property, but do not have any further claim on the mortgagees. This practice - grounded in common law - shows how North America has freed itself from the legacy of feudal-style creditor power and the debtors' prisons that made earlier European debt laws so harsh.

However, in most of Europe it is still the case that people remain personally liable for their mortgage debt in case of default even after foreclosure. In other words, strategic default by individuals is impossible.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 11:42:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
These governments have been borrowing [from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund] not to finance a budget deficit, as in Greece, but to support their exchange rates and thereby prevent a private-sector default to foreign banks.

What!?

Why do I fail to be surprised?

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 11:47:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Migeru:
Another by-product of the Great Depression in the US and Canada was to free mortgage debtors from personal liability, making it possible to recover from bankruptcy.
See also this thread.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 11:47:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
On Hungary in particular, see DoDo's Hungary in danger of bankruptcy? (October 10th, 2008) and this thread from 2 weeks later.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 12:04:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That would not be much better. At least in Finland the left is the strongest anti-property-tax party there is. Even the right has some flexibility on this issue.
by kjr63 on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 09:16:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Look at the Nordics.

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 10:05:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Pucktvåa... ;p

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 07:16:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hide this from ATinNM! He's learning Swedish - fy sjutton!

"It is typically Scandinavian to swear with numbers." citation needed

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed May 19th, 2010 at 11:22:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Of course there is. Not to bang my own pots (or yes, actually), look at Sweden. Norway. Finland. Denmark. Hell, look at the Netherlands.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Tue May 18th, 2010 at 07:13:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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