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Turkey is the southern flank of NATO intended, as I understand the matter to prevent the Soviet Union - yeah, I know - from invading south and grabbing the OPEC oil and threatening their flank so as to prevent the Red Army - yeah, I know - concentrating all their available forces in the Warsaw Pact countries.

Yes, I know.

Currently Turkey is a base to spy Russian communications.  One can learn a lot from "idle" chatter over the air waves.  This is still, as I understand, very important to the US.  

And it's a potential base for US deployment and logistic support for military operations in the 'stans, Levant, and OPEC nations.  The use of Turkish airspace is, I guess, especially important.  (?)

The Turkish military is the second largest in NATO after the US.  It is fully modern, trained, supported, NATO capable force not to be sneezed at.  

The only modern weapon system the Turks lack, as far as I know, is nuclear weapons.  It's possible they could "borrow" some from Pakistan or, perhaps, the PRC if push came to shove.  

Last, if Turkey leaves NATO then the US loses a goodly dollop of control over Turkish foreign policy.

"Losing" Turkey would be a Big Deal.

by ATinNM on Tue Jun 1st, 2010 at 01:10:06 PM EST
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Turkey is part of NATO's "nuclear sharing agreement" so within the confines of NATO they do have nuclear weapons.  I imagine that provided they have the fuel available they could also cook their own up at will.
by paving on Tue Jun 1st, 2010 at 05:30:19 PM EST
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Thanks!  It's been so long I forgot that.

IIRC, the standard doctrine is for the US to retain Command and Control until the nukes are released to the Theater Commanders Command but NEVER Control.  The US & etc. keep their toys firmly in their mitts.

by ATinNM on Tue Jun 1st, 2010 at 05:35:07 PM EST
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I believe the intent of that sharing agreement is to keep countries that could easily develop nuke's from doing so (and saving the money in the process).  It also implies that without NATO any one of them could become a nuclear power without great effort.
by paving on Tue Jun 1st, 2010 at 05:38:36 PM EST
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Subject to your correction ...

It is my understanding Turkey and Pakistan are BFF and we know Pakistan has nukes so I think it's safe to projection, with a high degree of certainty, if Turkey and Israel start slugging it out Pakistan won't stand by and let Israel blackmail 'em nuclear strategic wise.

H'mmmm.

Just about anyway I play it, Israel's nuclear forces will be countered through our good old friend MAD.

by ATinNM on Tue Jun 1st, 2010 at 05:57:23 PM EST
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