Display:
The Guardian: Poll jitters will mean a sleepless night for Britain's bond traders: Bond traders are preparing to work through the night once the polls have closed on Thursday
For the first time in British election history they will not have to wait until the morning to stampede out of bad positions. The futures market in bonds and sterling will be open overnight and most banks will be making sure their trading desks are well staffed.

Traders taking positions on Thursday will have the luxury of knowing that from 1am on Friday they can be back at their desks reacting to exit polls. In the past they could trade sterling in overseas markets and cash British government bonds - or gilts - if they could find a counterparty, but trading in the more liquid futures market would not restart until 8am.

...

"The gilt market usually opens at 8am but you could know the result some time before that and so that would make it more of a casino not less of a casino."

As usual, Keynes had the punchline ready 75 years ago:
When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.


The brainless should not be in banking -- Willem Buiter
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed May 5th, 2010 at 06:11:44 AM EST
Silly me. I thought SOP was to close exchanges if there was the danger of a panic.

The US even did so after 9/11.

"The gilt market usually opens at 8am but you could know the result some time before that and so that would make it more of a casino not less of a casino."

In that case, the exchange could be shut down until Monday...

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed May 5th, 2010 at 08:06:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by das monde on Thu May 6th, 2010 at 01:29:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Occasional Series