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The rest of the world could live without China.

Global demand rests on China. Take that away, and we'll have a real depression.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Wed Jul 21st, 2010 at 04:23:17 PM EST
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Global demand rests on China.

No it doesn't. It's narrowly true for some specific categories of raw materials, but no for global aggregate demand.

Wind power

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 22nd, 2010 at 08:53:31 PM EST
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And machinery, capital goods, cars etc, etc. Add in India, and Brazil for good measure.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid on Thu Jul 22nd, 2010 at 09:09:52 PM EST
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Were it a fact or perceived to be a fact that China was out of business as a global trade player that would be stimulative to world manufacturing as a whole, as a good amount of manufacturing capacity would have to be created in other countries. I believe China exports well more of its production than it consumes. Given the raw material stockpiling that China appears to have undertaken a drop in commodity prices, ex energy, would not seem unlikely unless China continues to boom. I don't know how these two factors would balance out, but they should offset one another.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Thu Jul 22nd, 2010 at 10:18:28 PM EST
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