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By historical contrast, the US (and Japan t a lesser extent) grew and was able to contest space with European colonial powers through protected, domestically-oriented industrialization, not through exports and trade as China is doing.  The US didn't need Europe to grow economically, so it could overtake Europe without endangering its own growth.  China can't do the same because it lacks the mineral and agricultural resources it needs domestically.  Lacking a global military which can secure resources by preventing others access to them, China must trade to get them.  So it must abide by largely American-made rules and norms if it wants to continue its wave of prosperity.

The US grew in the 19th century because it had a continent to colonize, not because of international trade rules.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 21st, 2010 at 02:29:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's what I mean.  The US didn't need trade to grow, so it insulated its industry from trade while expanding into the "virgin" continent.  China's expansion today, however, is entirely a global, trade based phenomenon.  It needs trade to grow, making an historical comparison between US vs. Britain and China vs. US misleading. It's more like pre-WWI Japan vs. pre-WWII US.
by santiago on Wed Jul 21st, 2010 at 08:49:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The apt comparison here is Germany and Britain between the German unification in 1870 and WWI.

If it hadn't been for the first world war, we would be having this conversation in German.

Incidentally, there's another parallel: The countries that won the first world war did so by being neutral.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Wed Jul 21st, 2010 at 05:54:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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