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Obama's Legacy: Afghanistan | The New York Review of Books

Most presidents start wondering--or, more often, worrying--about their "legacy" well into their first term. Or, if they have a second term, they worry even more feverishly about what posterity will think of them. Obama need not wonder about his legacy, even this early. It is already fixed, and in one word: Afghanistan. He took on what he made America's longest war and what may turn out to be its most disastrous one.

It is time for me to break a silence I have observed for over a year, against my better judgment. On June 30, 2009, I and eight other historians were invited to a dinner with President Obama and three of his staffers, to discuss what history could teach him about conducting the presidency. I was asked shortly after by several news media what went on there, and I replied that it was off the record. I have argued elsewhere that the imposition of secrecy to insure that the president gets "candid advice" is a cover for something else--making sure that what is said about the people's business does not reach the people. But I went along this time, since the president said that he wanted this dinner to be a continuing thing, and I thought that revealing its first contents would jeopardize the continuation of a project that might be a source of information for him.

But there has been no follow up on the first dinner, and certainly no sign that he learned anything from it. The only thing achieved has been the silencing of the main point the dinner guests tried to make--that pursuit of war in Afghanistan would be for him what Vietnam was to Lyndon Johnson. At least four or five of the nine stressed this. Nothing else rose to this level of seriousnes



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 01:04:08 PM EST
however, he said he was going to do this in a policy document released in May 2007. At least nobody can say they weren't warned, the difficulty is that that too many didn't want to know, they just wanted to believe.

The fact that it was an idiotic policy, was known to be an idiotic policy, even then is neither here nor there. Obama got his war on and he is Lyndon Johnston.

However, is it possible to be a peace President in a country where the military industrial complex has such deep pockets and can buy such overwhelming influence ?

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:11:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
However, is it possible to be a peace President in a country where the military industrial complex has such deep pockets and can buy such overwhelming influence ?

Eventually, someone is going to have to figure out how to be, or else a tattered broken (and broke) country full of people will have all these wonderful dreams during decades of rebuilding.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:18:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Obama is Johnson?  Before Viet Nam Johnson wasn't rich.  Somehow ... heh, heh, ... he leaves the Presidency a multi-millionaire and no one ... NO ONE ... ever does an extensive investigation on WHERE LBJ got his millions.  At least Obama isn't be a war profiteer.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:32:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I, for one, would have indeed forgiven nearly anything, except failing to stop the slaughter, or at least to have pulled off the mask of the vain-glorious part of the tribe who think that war is a solution.

There are those who point out that he is a dozen or more approval points above where Reagan was in a similar economic horror, and others who will point out that he always said that Afghanistan is a righteous war.

But here they are, putting billions of more into the madness without any chance of any other solution somewhere down the line than where they are now--calling it victory and saying let's take care of home.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:13:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
See July 27, 2010: Best Leak Ever on the Daily Show...

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:20:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
May I say that the bunch of useless half wits who insist on fucking about with Internet rights so I get to see "Sorry, Videos are not currently available in your country" whenever I get pointed at one of his videos unless I bugger about with proxys needs to be taken round the back of the bike sheds and kicked in his or her money grubbing head repeatedly.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:25:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
try this

but you have to watch the whole show including the Ch4 adverts for Amoretto.

however, the shirely sherrod sequence is really funny

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:34:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Okay, I watched it all and am not sure what part you were referring to.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:52:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The part where all people care about is whether Obama was mad about this and John Stewart says "Who gives a fuck?"

As in, "Obama's legacy? Who gives a fuck?"

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:02:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh sugar, I missed that.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:03:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
To consider Afghanistan America's most "disastrous war ever" is so utterly filled with historical ignorance and contempt that I feel no need to read any further.
by paving on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:34:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Let me guess, you're a "fan" of Viet Nam?

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:39:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Initially I reacted similarly. But then I thought about it and realised it has quite far-reaching consequences.

vietnam (which I presume was the previous worst fiasco) (or did you mean the civil War ?) and other conflicts may have gone wrong, but they didn't change the game in terms of how the world viewed the country. Afghanistan did, a bunch of hajis didn't just frustrate them like in Iraq, they're on the point of defeating them, of showing the world how to beat the big bad bully.

the US wasn't beaten in Vietnam, but they just couldn't win. The US faces defeat in Afghanistan. In fact if the Taliban really get wiggy with cutting the overland supply routes, it could be a defeat of 9th legion proportions

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:45:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'd add that...

a) he says "may turn out to be" rather than is

b) this could turn out to be the worst timed conflict in economic terms - the money that has been spent could be the tipping point in having a seriously negative effect on the US economy - and only the Civil War could compare with that...

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 02:48:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In financial terms I'd have suggested that Iraq was the tipping point.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:02:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What? There has really been a difference between The Iraq and Afghan War and its spending? Blimey, I forgot. Excuse me while I get both of the UN Approval Documents for Operation "Bomb the Fuck Out of Them for 10 Years 'Cause Our Version of Government Is So Incredibly Obviously Better For Everyone" and Operation "Bomb the Fuck Out of Them for 9 Years 'Cause Them's So Bad for Having Weapons of Mass Destruction"...be right back.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Jul 29th, 2010 at 08:26:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Afghanistan did, a bunch of hajis didn't just frustrate them like in Iraq, they're on the point of defeating them, of showing the world how to beat the big bad bully.

Considering the Afghan experience of the British and Russians from the 1820's to the 1980's, nobody could have predicted...

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:07:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... nobody could have predicted...

Is this the official/unofficial ET catch-phrase?  Very useful in so many situations.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:12:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
More or less I guess

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 03:22:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Seeing as Malta appears to have gone out of fashion

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:27:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That was something no one could have predicted.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:34:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And that could have only happened in Malta

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:37:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
right up there with 'we're all doomed'!

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:44:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Or [Europe is Doomed]

don't have the asteroid picture, sorry

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 05:07:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Helen:
the US wasn't beaten in Vietnam,

the usa was humiliated in vietnam, and had to beat an ignominious retreat, the vietcong prevailed.

afghanistan is similar, in that the talibanis are prevailing through attrition and stubborn reluctance to cede to superior firepower.

having not learned from vietnam, this time it will be more humiliating...

especially as it cannot be said that the war was lost by jane fonda this time, indeed americans seem mostly only moved to end the occupation for solely economic reasons, unsurprising due to the much closer to absolute control of that pesky media, which was still much less muzzled back in the 60's, though still prevalently right wing.

the big difference is the draft, and the fact that vietnam was not on the chinese dime.

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:41:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well without Jane to focus on, Im sure it will be focused on everyone who dosn't go to church/support the republican party/Lefties on the internet.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:47:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
damn bloggaz!

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:51:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Look on the bright side.  We just might be looking at the end of the US Empire due to fiscal irresponsibilty and that will make it all worth it.  I'd love to see that before I croak;  make the visit all worth it.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 04:55:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Afghanistan is just one of the early skirmishes in the Oil Wars. It will get a lot worse.

What Obama will be remembered for is, 1.) being the first black president, and 2.) socialized medicine. The importance of the current wars in the Middle East will fade into insignificance as time goes on.

Consider, for example, the French Indochina War, 1946-1954, over 500,000 dead. Completely overwhelmed in history by the American version of war in Vietnam.

by asdf on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 09:36:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The reasons the Indochina war is not that much remembered in France are :

  • much, much less significant in the metropole than the Algerian war, which was in a population colony and fought by draftees. Whereas there were at most a few dozen thousands French people in Indochina, and the war was fought by soldiers from the Legion and the Colonies.

  • Pretty much all the French politicians (bar the communists) were guilty of participating in the war. The non-personality oriented nature of decision making in the 4th Republic means that there is no single historical figure associated with deciding to fight the war (unlike ending it, which is why Mendes France is remembered)


Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Wed Jul 28th, 2010 at 11:35:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But it isn't socialised medicine, it's simply a compulsory but private basic health insurance.

these two things are not the same

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 29th, 2010 at 05:57:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Like car insurance...

However, the principle that health coverage should be universal has been established even if the implementation can be found lacking.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 29th, 2010 at 06:02:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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