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FT.com / Europe - Rift opens in Italian coalition
Italy on Friday appeared to be heading for early elections or a government shake-up after Silvio Berlusconi moved to expel dissidents from his People of Liberty party, reducing his parliamentary majority to a thread.

Although an acrimonious divorce between the prime minister, 73, and Gianfranco Fini, co-founder of their party, had been on the cards for months, there was still confusion over how much life was left in Mr Berlusconi's two-year-old centre-right coalition.

The rift ends 16 years of collaboration between the two politicians and sounds the death knell, at least for the moment, of Italy's brief flirtation with a two-party system.

Mr Fini, 58, a former neo-fascist who has moved to the mainstream, insisted at a press conference in Rome that he would remain in his post as speaker of parliament, in spite of Mr Berlusconi's efforts to remove him.



"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char
by Melanchthon on Fri Jul 30th, 2010 at 03:49:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Berlusconi presently has his hands tied. He can no longer rule by decree and confidence votes. His government must finally come to terms with a parliamentary dialectics. The idea that his troups in parliament will be forced to think and talk is amusing.

Fini's new group, Future and Liberty for Italy, has presently 33 deputies and 10 Senators. Although Fini's group will continue to belong to the majority, without their vote on bills, Berlusconi no longer has a majority. This makes it very difficult to force confidence votes on key legislation.

Berlusconi presently cannot risk resigning without backroom bargaining with other political forces such as Casini's Center Democrats. Casini, who has more price tags on him than a Walmart giveaway, does not have the numbers to substitute Fini. In theory parliament could simply express another majority which excludes Berlusconi's personal political entity without resorting to elections. Appeal to popular will is just hot air. There are no constitutional grounds for curtailing the legislature at the moment.

As for Fini resigning as President (Speaker) of the House, it's out of the question. On the contrary, the House President was traditionally chosen among opposition members until Berlusconi reversed that practice in 1994 by electing a 27 year old dance hall number, Irena Pivetti, as his House Speaker and a pataintellectual, Carlo Scognamiglio, as Senate President.

The best strategy is to leave Berlusconi in power without a rubber-stamp parliament to satisfy his every caprice. If on the contrary he were to resign by deliberately forcing a confidence vote to his disadvantage, it would be a national priority to create a coalition to change the electoral law, deal with ordinary administration, and- very wishful thinking- pass draconian antitrust laws to dismember the Berlusconi media empire.

House arrest on Saint Helena would be the best solution.  

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 03:11:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
a pataintellectual, Carlo Scognamiglio

Do you mean he graduated from Collège de 'Pataphysique?

House arrest on Saint Helena would be the best solution

Saint Helena is to easy to reach nowadays. An asteroid would be better.

"Ce qui vient au monde pour ne rien troubler ne mérite ni égards ni patience." René Char

by Melanchthon on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 08:29:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Usually in Italy stodgy professors of Economy or Popper explode after meeting Berlusconi or Bossi and let it all hang out.

Jarry and Ionesco- and Gadda in other terms- long predicted Berlusconi's absurd Italy.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 09:25:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
House arrest on Saint Helena would be the best solution

Even better would be the solution adopted by Augustus for his horny daughter, Julia. Ban him to an island with no possible contact with females of any kind.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 09:33:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
what i love best about this is it happened on mussolini's birthday!

history rhyme...

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 08:44:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"there was still confusion over how much life was left in Mr Berlusconi's two-year-old centre-right coalition."

What does one have to do to get the "centre-" dropped?

We are talking about a far right party having made an open alliance with a neo-fascist one, remember.
And dismantled the judiciary for personal and business purposes.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 04:38:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In relative terms, that is centre-right.

By your standards, the European Social Democrats are centre-right.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 04:51:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, in the case of Berlusconi I have to wonder, relative to what?
I think most people would agree that anything involving camps, burning the houses of the "others" and suchlike would be extreme (right or even left sometimes maybe). And even probably something short of that would still be called extreme.

So what do you need to be at least "right", even if we go by relative terms? What do you have that would be significantly to the right of Berlusconi yet clearly not extreme?

To me it seems more like journalist laziness. And cowardice to actually make a meaningful statement.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 05:09:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Relative to the median voter.

By laying out pros and cons we risk inducing people to join the debate, and losing control of a process that only we fully understand. - Alan Greenspan
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 05:34:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, then, anyone in power would be, by definition, centre (except in FPTP systems of course). Not even centre-something, but full centre. Which would make the wording devoid of meaning.

Actually, Mussolini would then have to be called centre. The median voter was with him. Some threats probably ensured that it was so, of course.

Somehow, I rarely see Chavez described as a centre politician. Yet he is spot on where the median voter is, in his country.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sat Jul 31st, 2010 at 04:34:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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