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How long will the SDs be willing to support a government they don't get anything out of and continues a policy it is their whole purpose to change? Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
They won't survive that in the polls, of course, but if they had any inclination to value partisan survival above the interests of their bloc, they wouldn't have let themselves become so firmly installed in the Moderates' back pocket. Being kingmakers is the raison d'etre for parties like the Center Party. Aligning, or being forced to align, with one bloc or the other ahead of time suffocates them in the same way trying to out-Thatcher the Tories suffocates a Social Democratic party.
- Jake If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
On Wednesday the final count will be completed. Until then we'll see posturing, but nothing else. Then the real bargaining will start. This might last about two weeks, until parliament opens.
Right now there are only two options: either the Greens join the Alliance in government, or the Alliance will go it alone and damn the torpedoes. They probably feel pretty comfortable with that, even if they won't be able to win all the sessions in parliament. Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
X-ref: JakeS' comment, above, I don't quite see why the Center or Liberal Parties have to go along if they can cut a better deal. Either with the Social Democrats -- who are, after all, still the largest party -- or the Moderates since the Greens, Center, and Liberal parties, together, control the next government. The last two may have wedded themselves so firmly, tactically or ideologically, to the Moderate controlled Alliance that they can't wiggle out, I don't know the answer to either question.
The Center and Liberals have an "out" since they can always claim they are not going to be in a government that relies on the Swedish Democrats. How far & well can that Play? shrug Don't know.
In fact the entirety of my ignorance is stunning.
:-) Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
Another thing to remember is that the Center party is the greatest opponent of the Greens joining the centre-right, as they would occupy basically the same niche. And as the Center party kinda lacks ideology, does its best to alienate its core voters and generally just is an organisation with $300 million fortune who wants to secure jobs for its leading party members... well. Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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