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Correlation vs. Causation?

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Fri Sep 3rd, 2010 at 05:17:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The link I gave says
Response times, arrest rates, investigations and other routine police work throughout Maricopa County have suffered over the past two years as Sheriff Joe Arpaio turned his already short-handed and cash-strapped department into an immigration enforcement agency.
which suggests causation.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Sat Sep 4th, 2010 at 10:13:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not to me it doesn't. (Oh really, how so?)

Joe is spending all his time/resources tracking down Mexicans. He ignores everything else. Violent crime rate is up. All given. So the logical causation, If A, then B is ... people know that Joe isn't paying attention so this is a good time to start a bar fight? Wack granny for her estate? Still don't see the causation trail even if I except the validity of the data.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Sat Sep 4th, 2010 at 11:12:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If your argument is right, we could save a lot of money by cutting spending on pretty much all police work except immigration enforcement. Not saying you're wrong, but I doubt you'll find many people that agree with you...
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Sat Sep 4th, 2010 at 05:57:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm neither right nor wrong because I'm not putting forward any arguement which can BE right or wrong. I'm simply saying I don't see the causation proven.  If Joe had said, "Let me chase down Mexicans full time and I guarantee you, violent crime rate will go down.", then you would have something.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Sat Sep 4th, 2010 at 07:41:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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