The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
Equality before the law is sacred. So a default or partial default has to treat all bond-holders of the Irish state the same way.
This conclusion does not follow from that premise.
Repudiating the bank guarantee is no more a violation of the principle of equality before the law than issuing that guarantee - of the private debts of a subset of private companies (I didn't see any guarantee of Irish manufacturing firms' debts, even though that would have lowered their cost of funding, which would have provided a real economic benefit).
I mentioned the 100 billion owned by Irish banks to the ECB. That is not a hedgefund. Nor even really foreign.
It shouldn't act like a hedge fund, and it shouldn't act like a foreign entity.
Yet it does.
If it didn't behave like a foreign hedge fund, there would be no real need to default on it. If it behaved like a proper central bank, it would keep rolling over that position indefinitely, because that's what central banks do with sovereign debt positions as a matter of course.
And the considerable sums that the Irish governments already put in the banks is a fact too.
No. They're a promise. Unless ECB reserves have been moved from the Irish reserve account to the bank's reserve account, no transaction has taken place which cannot be undone by legislative fiat.
I think that is offered here is a illusion. Bankruptcy without the pains of bankruptcy.
The macroeconomics of sovereign states is funny that way. Sometimes the ordinary citizen really can avoid the pain by shafting obviously evil people like Goldman Sachs or Deutche Bank. Sometimes they can't, of course. Greece will feel pain, to a greater or lesser extent (default means less pain than AusterityTM, but there will be pain). Ireland, with its strong trade surplus, does not need to feel pain. The pain is a political choice.
Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 21 17 comments
by Cat - Feb 18 10 comments
by ATinNM - Feb 6 22 comments
by Oui - Feb 12 16 comments
by Oui - Jan 26 3 comments
by Oui - Feb 14 1 comment
by gmoke - Feb 13
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 5 10 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 2117 comments
by Cat - Feb 1810 comments
by Oui - Feb 175 comments
by Oui - Feb 141 comment
by gmoke - Feb 13
by Oui - Feb 1216 comments
by Oui - Feb 12
by Oui - Feb 86 comments
by Oui - Feb 71 comment
by ATinNM - Feb 622 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 510 comments
by Oui - Feb 42 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 254 comments
by Cat - Feb 18 comments
by Oui - Feb 1
by Oui - Feb 129 comments
by Oui - Jan 302 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 2936 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jan 2811 comments
by Oui - Jan 263 comments