The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
Budget committee says automatic capital rule of the ESM both unacceptable and unconstitutional; wants to subject each capital increase to a vote in the Bundestag (which would probably impair the AAA-rating of the ESM; statement comes after German Court of Auditors handed out a ruling saying that Merkel understated the amounted of capital Germany is likely to provide, as it underestimates the possibility that other guarantors might not pay up; S&P says ESM is not going to impair the creditworthiness of its guarantors; Portuguese banks reduce ECB borrowings; polls suggest a close outcome of Finnish elections; AIB considers debt forgiveness for Irish mortgage holders; Troika frustrated about Greek authorities' failures on taxes and customs; 30 NGOs create a "Finance Watch" lobby group to counter the lobbying strength of the financial sector; the Netherlands threatens to block Iceland's bid to join the EU; Wolfgang Münchau argues that the lack of bond purchasing powers of the EFSF/ESM makes any voluntary debt restructuring options impossible; Lorenzo Bini-Smaghi, meanwhile, argues that it is fair for Irish taxpayers to shoulder the burden, as they created a financial centre based on lax financial regulation and low corporate taxes.
According to a news report in Der Spiegel this morning, Angela Merkel may require a two-thirds majority to approve any agreement on the European Stability Mechanism, the long-term replacement of the EFSF. This came from an opinion expressed by the Bundestag legal department. This is the same hurdle as required for a full blown change in the German constitution, but in this case the high voting threshold is required because the decision has implications for the Bundestag's administrative sovereignty (we presume it might require the Bundestag to sign checks against its will). This means that Merkel will need the support of the SPD and/or the Greens to push her package through, and this in turn means that her degrees of freedom during the negotiations on the competitiveness pact will be even more constrained.
(Here is very short overview to keep track of where the various actors are standing: The Bundesbank opposes pretty much anything, stress tests, extension of the EFSF's ceiling and mandate; the German government would be open to a wider ceiling, but would find it hard to sell it to the Bundestag, unless Portugal agrees to come under the EFSF. Generally the finance ministry is more open on matters such as the mandate of the EFSF than the chancellor's office; but the big gap is not between Schäuble and Merkel, but between the government and the Bundestag. The Bundestag is hostile to any mandate extension of the EFSF, and cautious about the ESM, including bond purchases, as this would invariably put pressure on the ceiling. Everybody wants to avoid a situation where the government keeps coming back to the Bundesbank for more money every so often)
The unhappiness is real, but there will be no consequences yet.
Bundestag's revolt gains support The Bundestag's revolt against the ESM procedures also gathered pace (see our morning briefing yesterday), after the publication of the court of auditor's report warning that the liabilities for the German taxpayers may be higher than foreseen so far. MPs are angry at Wolfgang Schäuble for informing only the Bundestag's budgetary committee on negotiations around the EMS and not the entire parliament. "The whole parliament has to be involved", Gunther Kirchbaum, the chairman of the European affairs committee, told Handelsblatt. So far it is unclear how the parliament will be involved. There are tricky issues to be solved. There is for example the five-year period in which the participating states contribute the paid in capital with a total volume of 80bn. In case of a big rescue operation the states may have to top up their participation. It is unclear what the parliament's influence would be. The parliamentarians of the three coalition parties CDU, CSU and FDP want to work closely together to get a maximum of Bundestag involvement.
The Bundestag's revolt against the ESM procedures also gathered pace (see our morning briefing yesterday), after the publication of the court of auditor's report warning that the liabilities for the German taxpayers may be higher than foreseen so far. MPs are angry at Wolfgang Schäuble for informing only the Bundestag's budgetary committee on negotiations around the EMS and not the entire parliament. "The whole parliament has to be involved", Gunther Kirchbaum, the chairman of the European affairs committee, told Handelsblatt. So far it is unclear how the parliament will be involved. There are tricky issues to be solved. There is for example the five-year period in which the participating states contribute the paid in capital with a total volume of 80bn. In case of a big rescue operation the states may have to top up their participation. It is unclear what the parliament's influence would be. The parliamentarians of the three coalition parties CDU, CSU and FDP want to work closely together to get a maximum of Bundestag involvement.
I doubt anything serious will happen.
Over the past few years, in spite of his position, Krichbaum himself doesn't seem to be high on the media radar. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by ARGeezer - May 24 4 comments
by DoDo - May 25 1 comment
by DoDo - May 23 43 comments
by Nomad - May 10 14 comments
by JakeS - May 15 7 comments
by Metatone - May 14 85 comments
by ARGeezer - May 16 15 comments
by gmoke - May 17 2 comments
by DoDo - May 251 comment
by ARGeezer - May 244 comments
by DoDo - May 2343 comments
by gmoke - May 172 comments
by ARGeezer - May 1615 comments
by JakeS - May 157 comments
by Metatone - May 1485 comments
by DoDo - May 1211 comments
by Nomad - May 1014 comments
by Migeru - May 78 comments
by marco - May 782 comments
by Migeru - May 6100 comments
by Ted Welch - May 35 comments
by afew - May 341 comments
by ceebs - May 26 comments
by gmoke - Apr 301 comment
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 3067 comments
by joelado - Apr 2954 comments
by Metatone - Apr 2854 comments
by ATinNM - Apr 275 comments