The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
International currency traders and hedge fund managers have bugger-all interest in buying stuff in Switzerland. There's nothing Switzerland produces they want or need. They do care about this, but not all that much.
International currency traders and hedge fund managers do not have to own CHF to play their little mathematical game - and it is a Game. All they have to do is have exposure to options:
CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Fund (NYSEArca:FXF): Option volume 579 percent above average. Activity surged in the August 126 puts and the September 126 puts. FXF fell 4.43 percent to $130.02.
or futures or financial instruments exposed to the CHF, e.g., Hungarian or Polish CMOs.
Hell, a large trading company, making billions of CHF trades a hour, can "make" millions of CHFs, per year, by extending the mantissa on their trades a couple of decimal points to the right.
Or they can lie. If Goldman Sachs is telling you they want to make a small trade of 50 million CHF how the hell do you know if they DO have it sitting in their coffers? A desk trader doesn't have time to waste double checking their Cash Balance¹, if it is in his advantage to make the trade, he will. All GS has to do is come-up with the cash, or pretend to, in a Financially Acceptable Kind of Way - which is, at the bottom, a Financial calculation! - at settlement.
Nobody knows the actual monetary value of Forex trading done in a day. Firms who do this estimated in 2007 it's in the neighborhood of $4 trillion (US) a day, or about one year of US GDP every four days, and it is certain the volume has increase over the last four years. In the Forex market traders go about "buying France" in the morning, "selling Greece" in the afternoon to offset the trade is all in a day's work. Thus, the affects and effects of their trades in the CHF on the Swiss economy is of only idle interest - if the trader can have any interest at all since a goodly portion of these trades are done by computers. (How much? Don't know.)
Since US regulators can't rein-in this trading the SNB sure as hell can't. The system is set-up so no national government can. The best any national government can do is light a match in a hurricane.
The only way to slow down this nonsense and erect a buffer against damage it causes is to change the damn system by creating a global clearing house that can exact a Tobin Tax on each and every trade and a transfer fee when moving from one currency to another.
¹ Which you can't know until the end of the trading day in the best of circumstances.
Skepticism is the first step on the road to truth. -- Denis Diderot
by A swedish kind of death - Sep 15 11 comments
by ChrisCook - Sep 14 55 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 11 129 comments
by Democrats Ramshield - Sep 18
by Luis de Sousa - Sep 9 69 comments
by Crazy Horse - Sep 6 10 comments
by Migeru - Sep 4 38 comments
by Metatone - Aug 30 5 comments
by Democrats Ramshield - Sep 18
by A swedish kind of death - Sep 1511 comments
by ChrisCook - Sep 1455 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Sep 11129 comments
by Luis de Sousa - Sep 969 comments
by Crazy Horse - Sep 610 comments
by Migeru - Sep 438 comments
by Metatone - Aug 305 comments
by Xavier in Paris - Aug 293 comments
by gmoke - Aug 26
by Metatone - Aug 227 comments
by eurogreen - Aug 2133 comments