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Funding really becomes a concern where it impacts the long end, i.e., if a bank cannot independently fund in the senior unsecured debt markets, it does not have a long-term viable future. While issuance has been negligible since July, this is because large EU banks have pre-emptively funded typically 70-90% of their 2011 needs, limiting the need for additional issuance into troubled markets. BNP is 100% complete, while SocGen has completed 93% of its 2011 funding. ... About that long-term issuance Nomura mentions at the top by the way -- it's worth reprising some recent charts from Morgan Stanley bank analyst Huw van Steenis. They show the recent slowdown in markets and also the funding needs into 2012:
Funding really becomes a concern where it impacts the long end, i.e., if a bank cannot independently fund in the senior unsecured debt markets, it does not have a long-term viable future. While issuance has been negligible since July, this is because large EU banks have pre-emptively funded typically 70-90% of their 2011 needs, limiting the need for additional issuance into troubled markets. BNP is 100% complete, while SocGen has completed 93% of its 2011 funding.
...
About that long-term issuance Nomura mentions at the top by the way -- it's worth reprising some recent charts from Morgan Stanley bank analyst Huw van Steenis. They show the recent slowdown in markets and also the funding needs into 2012:
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