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To compare a candidate's current support level with that of two weeks ago is nonsensical because 2 weeks ago no one knew how many candidates were going to succeed in getting a nomination. Norris and Dana, in particular, only secured nominations at the last minute and McGuinness was also sprung on the campaign as a big and late surprise. The Independent is running a rapidly anti-McGuinness campaign which makes anything they say suspect.
I think it will still take some time for voters to make up their minds and for polls to settle into a consistent pattern.
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