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That is an over-statement.

According to the last report (november):

>In the year-over-year comparison full-time employment in jobs subject to social security was 369,000 or
1.6 percent better than last year and part-time employment subject to social security by 325,000 or 6.0
percent.>

http://statistik.arbeitsagentur.de/Statischer-Content/Arbeitsmarktberichte/Labour-Market-Germany/Gen erische-Publikationen/Labour-Market-Germany-201111.pdf

(page 3)

So half of the improvement is part-time, half isn't.

by IM on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 12:34:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You are forgetting the jobs below the social security threshold.
by Katrin on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 12:45:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I didn't. In my opinion that is not really employment.

>Die Zahl der ausschließlich geringfügig entlohnt Beschäftigten hat abgenommen. Nach ersten Hochrechnun-gen der Bundesagentur für Arbeit betrug sie im Oktober 4,85 Mio, das waren 33.000 oder 0,7 Prozent weniger als vor einem Jahr.>

The number of marginally employed was 4,85 mill. in october and declined year on year 33,000.

So it seems the rise of marginally employed, that is employment not reaching the social contributions threshold, ha stopped now.

http://statistik.arbeitsagentur.de/Statischer-Content/Arbeitsmarktberichte/Monatsbericht-Arbeits-Aus bildungsmarkt-Deutschland/Monatsberichte/Generische-Publikationen/Monatsbericht-201112.pdf

by IM on Sat Jan 28th, 2012 at 07:24:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Completely agree that it's not really employment and a good thing if it's on the decrease. But 4.85 million "employed" whose employers don't pay social security is still a lot!
by Katrin on Sat Jan 28th, 2012 at 01:32:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I tried to get other numbers on the recent past, but could only get another year: in october 2010 year on year employment growth was 498,000. 283,000 full time and 208,000 part time.

So in the recent past - since 2006 or 2007 or so, at least a part of reduced unemployment was full-time employment.

by IM on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 01:14:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have an Excel file from Eurostat with the full LFS time series from 1999 to 2010. I'll get back to it.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 02:17:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

(The year-on-year calculations are mine)

There was obviously a bump in part-time job creation in mid-decade. But most of the time, fulltime jobs have been on the decrease or flat.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 03:06:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So more full-time jobs in 2007, 2008 and 2010. And according the numbers I cited, in 2011.

Not in 2009, while part-time jobs gained even then.

So the conventional impression that there a kind of turn around in job numbers starting in 2006 or 2007 is not wrong.

by IM on Sat Jan 28th, 2012 at 07:28:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That is a report year-on-year from November 2010 to November 2011.

The Rexecode report (confirmed by the OFCE paper) looks at the period 1999-2010, on the basis of the Labour Force Survey.

I've just checked the numbers from the German LFS at Eurostat. They are:

  • Total employed fulltime, 1999 : 29.089 mn

  • Total employed fulltime, 2010 : 28.382 mn

Difference: -707,000 or -2.4%

  • Total employed part-time, 1999 : 6.654 mn

  • Total employed part-time, 2010 : 9.690 mn

Difference: +3.036 mn or +45.6%

This confirms the observation that fulltime jobs in Germany have decreased while part-time work has greatly increased, accounting for all the rise in total employment since 1999.

Most of the part-time jobs have gone, as we might expect, to women - +2.164 mn over the period, compared to +872 600 for men.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Jan 27th, 2012 at 01:36:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
>That is a report year-on-year from November 2010 to November 2011.>

Said I something else?

To make my point somewhat better LFS on full-time:

2006 Q3:  27.653,5

2011 Q3: 29.154,6

part-time:

2006 Q3: 9.231,9   

2011 Q3: 10.069,8

That is a gain of 1.4 mill full-time and 800,000 part-time jobs. I used the third quarter because these are the latest numbers.

by IM on Sat Jan 28th, 2012 at 07:47:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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